Sport Picks
Match Events
69'
69'
Ali M.
90'
90'
Leon S.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026 game between Santomera and Bala Azul finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Santomera
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Bala Azul haven't matched Santomera's recent run of results.
- Model gives Santomera a 47% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Santomera Clean Sheet 68%
Bala Azul Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Santomera | Bala Azul |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 8 |
| Draws | 4 | 13 |
| Losses | 14 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.36 | 1.24 |
| Goals Conceded | 2 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 18, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Santomera vs Bala Azul
1:1
Sep 7, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Bala Azul vs Santomera
3:0
Apr 27, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Bala Azul vs Santomera
2:1
Dec 15, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Santomera vs Bala Azul
1:1
Jan 29, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Santomera vs Bala Azul
4:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Santomera Compare
Top Goalscorer Leon S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Bala Azul Compare
Top Goalscorer Ali M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Santomera 95 / 100
Bala Azul 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Santomera Bala Azul
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Santomera Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Santomera scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.
Bala Azul has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Santomera stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Santomera VS Bala Azul
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Santomera
(Home) 20 Sept
Santomera
2 : 0 CD Algar
13 Sept
UD Los Garres
2 : 2 Santomera
05 Sept
Santomera
2 : 1 UCAM Murcia B
28 Aug
Santomera
3 : 1 Torrellano
22 Aug
Santomera
1 : 2 Ciudad Cieza
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Santomera
2 : 0 CD Algar
05 Sept
Santomera
2 : 1 UCAM Murcia B
28 Aug
Santomera
3 : 1 Torrellano
22 Aug
Santomera
1 : 2 Ciudad Cieza
19 Aug
Santomera
1 : 4 Crevillente
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Bala Azul
(Away) 20 Sept
Aguilas FC B
0 : 0 Bala Azul
12 Sept
Bala Azul
1 : 0 Mazarron FC
06 Sept
Club Olimpico de Totana
2 : 2 Bala Azul
09 May
Bala Azul
2 : 4 Caravaca
02 May
Ciudad Cieza
3 : 1 Bala Azul
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Aguilas FC B
0 : 0 Bala Azul
06 Sept
Club Olimpico de Totana
2 : 2 Bala Azul
02 May
Ciudad Cieza
3 : 1 Bala Azul
12 Apr
FC Cartagena SAD B
2 : 3 Bala Azul
28 Mar
Yeclano B
0 : 3 Bala Azul
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ciudad Cieza | 34 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 65:21 | 73 |
| 2 | Real Murcia B | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 59:44 | 59 |
| 3 | Molinense | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 46:34 | 59 |
| 4 | Club Olimpico de Totana | 34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 44:27 | 58 |
| 5 | Mazarron FC | 34 | 14 | 14 | 6 | 50:33 | 56 |
| 6 | UCAM Murcia B | 34 | 13 | 16 | 5 | 55:37 | 55 |
| 7 | Aguilas FC B | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 47:42 | 52 |
| 8 | CA Pulpileno | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 30:29 | 50 |
| 9 | Santa Cruz | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 35:37 | 48 |
| 10 | Minerva | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 28:39 | 44 |
| 11 | Bala Azul | 34 | 8 | 16 | 10 | 39:36 | 40 |
| 12 | FC Cartagena SAD B | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40:39 | 38 |
| 13 | Deportivo Maritimo | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 38:46 | 36 |
| 14 | E.G. El Palmar | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 27:48 | 32 |
| 15 | Santomera | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 38:64 | 32 |
| 16 | Caravaca | 34 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 33:44 | 31 |
| 17 | Muleno CF | 34 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 33:58 | 31 |
| 18 | Yeclano B | 34 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 25:54 | 27 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
