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Santomera vs Caravaca

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Araujo J.

AI Match Summary

Santomera in this Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Santomera.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Santomera
30%
Draws
23%
Caravaca
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Santomera

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Santomera lately — more wins on the board than Caravaca.
  • Santomera are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 87%
Over 1.5 Goals 77.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Santomera Clean Sheet 68%
Caravaca Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santomera Caravaca
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 10 5
Draws 4 12
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.36 0.93
Goals Conceded 2 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.27 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Santomera vs Caravaca
1:0
Sep 21, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Caravaca vs Santomera
1:1
Apr 12, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Santomera vs Caravaca
3:2
Dec 1, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Caravaca vs Santomera
1:0
Jan 18, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Santomera vs Caravaca
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santomera Compare

Top Goalscorer Araujo J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.98
Avg xA / game 0.64

Caravaca Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santomera 59 / 100
Caravaca 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santomera Caravaca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santomera Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santomera found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Caravaca conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Santomera remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Santomera VS Caravaca
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
2 Goals Conceded 1.17
88% Over 1.5 67%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Santomera

(Home)
20 Sept
Santomera
2 : 0
CD Algar
13 Sept
UD Los Garres
2 : 2
Santomera
05 Sept
Santomera
2 : 1
UCAM Murcia B
28 Aug
Santomera
3 : 1
Torrellano
22 Aug
Santomera
1 : 2
Ciudad Cieza
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Caravaca

(Away)
09 May
Bala Azul
2 : 4
Caravaca
03 May
Caravaca
0 : 1
Club Olimpico de Totana
25 Apr
FC Cartagena SAD B
0 : 0
Caravaca
19 Apr
Caravaca
1 : 1
Real Murcia B
12 Apr
Yeclano B
3 : 1
Caravaca
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ciudad Cieza 34 21 10 3 65:21 73
2 Real Murcia B 34 17 8 9 59:44 59
3 Molinense 34 17 8 9 46:34 59
4 Club Olimpico de Totana 34 15 13 6 44:27 58
5 Mazarron FC 34 14 14 6 50:33 56
6 UCAM Murcia B 34 13 16 5 55:37 55
7 Aguilas FC B 34 14 10 10 47:42 52
8 CA Pulpileno 34 13 11 10 30:29 50
9 Santa Cruz 34 14 6 14 35:37 48
10 Minerva 34 11 11 12 28:39 44
11 Bala Azul 34 8 16 10 39:36 40
12 FC Cartagena SAD B 34 9 11 14 40:39 38
13 Deportivo Maritimo 34 9 9 16 38:46 36
14 E.G. El Palmar 34 8 8 18 27:48 32
15 Santomera 34 8 8 18 38:64 32
16 Caravaca 34 6 13 15 33:44 31
17 Muleno CF 34 6 13 15 33:58 31
18 Yeclano B 34 6 9 19 25:54 27
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026 (Play Offs)