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Santomera vs CD Algar

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Sun, Sep 20, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Santomera host CD Algar in the Tercera RFEF - Group 13. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Santomera have averaged 1.55 scored and 1.97 conceded recently, against CD Algar's 0.83 scored and 1.9 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. The numbers (1.21 xG vs 1.63) point toward Santomera. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Santomera
20%
Draws
29%
CD Algar
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Santomera

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • CD Algar haven't matched Santomera's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Santomera a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Santomera Clean Sheet 14%
CD Algar Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santomera CD Algar
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 12 6
Draws 6 5
Losses 15 18
Goals Scored 1.55 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.21 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santomera 84 / 100
CD Algar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santomera CD Algar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santomera Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Algar has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Santomera's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Recent resilience: Santomera stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

CD Algar's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Santomera VS CD Algar
0.75 Goals Scored 0
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.67
75% Over 1.5 67%
50% Over 2.5 33%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Santomera

(Home)
13 Sept
UD Los Garres
2 : 2
Santomera
05 Sept
Santomera
2 : 1
UCAM Murcia B
28 Aug
Santomera
3 : 1
Torrellano
22 Aug
Santomera
1 : 2
Ciudad Cieza
19 Aug
Santomera
1 : 4
Crevillente
Page 1 of 7

CD Algar

(Away)
13 Sept
CD Algar
0 : 3
Bullas Deportivo
05 Sept
CA Pulpileno
2 : 0
CD Algar
24 Aug
CD Algar
0 : 0
Minerva
10 May
CD Algar
4 : 3
Plus Ultra
05 May
Bullense
5 : 0
CD Algar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bullas Deportivo 2 1 1 0 4:1 4
2 Molinense 2 1 1 0 6:4 4
3 CA Pulpileno 2 1 1 0 2:0 4
4 San Javier 2 1 1 0 5:4 4
5 Santomera 2 1 1 0 4:3 4
6 Cotillas CD 2 1 1 0 4:3 4
7 Bala Azul 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
8 Minerva 2 1 1 0 1:0 4
9 UCAM Murcia B 2 1 0 1 5:2 3
10 Santa Cruz 2 1 0 1 4:4 3
11 UD Los Garres 2 0 2 0 3:3 2
12 Aguilas FC B 2 0 2 0 3:3 2
13 Alcantarilla 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
14 Club Olimpico de Totana 2 0 1 1 3:4 1
15 FC Cartagena SAD B 2 0 1 1 2:4 1
16 Mazarron FC 2 0 0 2 1:3 0
17 CD Algar 2 0 0 2 0:5 0
18 Deportivo Maritimo 2 0 0 2 0:5 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 6 (Promotion - Play Offs)