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Santomera vs Deportivo Maritimo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
09:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Santomera host Deportivo Maritimo in the Tercera RFEF - Group 13. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Deportivo Maritimo have shipped 1.17 goals a game lately, while Santomera have conceded 1.94 and scored 1.62. Past meetings favor Santomera slightly — 2-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 1, 2026, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.31 - 1.44) back Santomera to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Santomera
15%
Draws
27%
Deportivo Maritimo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Santomera

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Santomera carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Santomera's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Santomera Clean Sheet 16%
Deportivo Maritimo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santomera Deportivo Maritimo
Matches Played 34 29
Wins 14 7
Draws 5 9
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.62 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.94 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Deportivo Maritimo vs Santomera
2:1
Oct 19, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Santomera vs Deportivo Maritimo
0:1
Jan 19, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Deportivo Maritimo vs Santomera
1:4
Sep 7, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Santomera vs Deportivo Maritimo
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santomera 84 / 100
Deportivo Maritimo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santomera Deportivo Maritimo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santomera Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Santomera stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Santomera's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Deportivo Maritimo let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Santomera VS Deportivo Maritimo
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Santomera

(Home)
04 Oct
CA Pulpileno
2 : 3
Santomera
27 Sept
Bullas Deportivo
1 : 2
Santomera
20 Sept
Santomera
2 : 0
CD Algar
13 Sept
UD Los Garres
2 : 2
Santomera
05 Sept
Santomera
2 : 1
UCAM Murcia B
Page 1 of 7

Deportivo Maritimo

(Away)
27 Sept
CD Algar
1 : 2
Deportivo Maritimo
20 Sept
Deportivo Maritimo
0 : 1
UD Los Garres
13 Sept
UCAM Murcia B
4 : 0
Deportivo Maritimo
06 Sept
Deportivo Maritimo
0 : 1
Minerva
10 May
Yeclano B
1 : 3
Deportivo Maritimo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santomera 5 4 1 0 11:6 13
2 San Javier 5 3 2 0 8:5 11
3 Alcantarilla 5 2 3 0 5:2 9
4 Molinense 5 2 2 1 10:8 8
5 CA Pulpileno 5 2 2 1 6:4 8
6 Club Olimpico de Totana 5 2 2 1 6:5 8
7 Minerva 5 2 2 1 3:2 8
8 Cotillas CD 5 2 1 2 7:8 7
9 Santa Cruz 5 1 3 1 8:8 6
10 UCAM Murcia B 5 1 2 2 8:6 5
11 Bullas Deportivo 4 1 2 1 5:3 5
12 Aguilas FC B 5 0 5 0 5:5 5
13 Bala Azul 5 1 2 2 4:5 5
14 UD Los Garres 5 1 2 2 4:5 5
15 FC Cartagena SAD B 5 1 2 2 6:8 5
16 Deportivo Maritimo 4 1 0 3 2:7 3
17 CD Algar 5 1 0 4 3:10 3
18 Mazarron FC 5 0 1 4 5:9 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 6 (Promotion - Play Offs)