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Santomera vs E.G. El Palmar

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026
Santomera Logo

Santomera

0 - 1
FT
E.G. El Palmar Logo

E.G. El Palmar

Our Tip

Match Events

83' Event
Conejero C.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026 game between Santomera and E.G. El Palmar finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward E.G. El Palmar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

77%
Santomera
15%
Draws
8%
E.G. El Palmar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Santomera

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / Very High Confidence
  • Santomera haven't matched E.G. El Palmar's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Santomera's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Santomera Clean Sheet 68%
E.G. El Palmar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santomera E.G. El Palmar
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 7 8
Draws 6 7
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 1.25 0.8
Goals Conceded 2.04 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Santomera vs E.G. El Palmar
0:1
Oct 26, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
E.G. El Palmar vs Santomera
2:2
Mar 23, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
E.G. El Palmar vs Santomera
2:3
Nov 9, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Santomera vs E.G. El Palmar
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santomera Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

E.G. El Palmar Compare

Top Goalscorer Conejero C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santomera 95 / 100
E.G. El Palmar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santomera E.G. El Palmar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santomera Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santomera's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

E.G. El Palmar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Santomera stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Santomera VS E.G. El Palmar
1.25 Goals Scored 0.5
2.25 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Santomera

(Home)
10 May
Club Olimpico de Totana
3 : 1
Santomera
02 May
Santomera
2 : 1
FC Cartagena SAD B
25 Apr
Real Murcia B
2 : 3
Santomera
19 Apr
Santomera
3 : 1
Yeclano B
12 Apr
Minerva
1 : 0
Santomera
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E.G. El Palmar

(Away)
10 May
Minerva
3 : 2
E.G. El Palmar
03 May
E.G. El Palmar
0 : 0
CA Pulpileno
25 Apr
Aguilas FC B
2 : 1
E.G. El Palmar
19 Apr
E.G. El Palmar
0 : 4
UCAM Murcia B
12 Apr
Mazarron FC
4 : 1
E.G. El Palmar
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ciudad Cieza 34 21 10 3 65:21 73
2 Real Murcia B 34 17 8 9 59:44 59
3 Molinense 34 17 8 9 46:34 59
4 Club Olimpico de Totana 34 15 13 6 44:27 58
5 Mazarron FC 34 14 14 6 50:33 56
6 UCAM Murcia B 34 13 16 5 55:37 55
7 Aguilas FC B 34 14 10 10 47:42 52
8 CA Pulpileno 34 13 11 10 30:29 50
9 Santa Cruz 34 14 6 14 35:37 48
10 Minerva 34 11 11 12 28:39 44
11 Bala Azul 34 8 16 10 39:36 40
12 FC Cartagena SAD B 34 9 11 14 40:39 38
13 Deportivo Maritimo 34 9 9 16 38:46 36
14 E.G. El Palmar 34 8 8 18 27:48 32
15 Santomera 34 8 8 18 38:64 32
16 Caravaca 34 6 13 15 33:44 31
17 Muleno CF 34 6 13 15 33:58 31
18 Yeclano B 34 6 9 19 25:54 27
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026 (Play Offs)