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Santomera vs Plus Ultra

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Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Rubira Riquelme R.
54' Event
Ruiz J.
61' Event
El Aoud I.

AI Match Summary

Santomera in this Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Santomera.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Santomera
15%
Draws
12%
Plus Ultra
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Santomera

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Santomera have won more games recently than Plus Ultra.
  • 73% — that's where the model lands on Santomera taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Santomera Clean Sheet 15%
Plus Ultra Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santomera Plus Ultra
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 1
Draws 5 2
Losses 15 27
Goals Scored 1.47 0.63
Goals Conceded 2 2.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Santomera vs Plus Ultra
4:0
Jan 5, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Plus Ultra vs Santomera
0:2
Apr 29, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Plus Ultra vs Santomera
1:1
Dec 14, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Santomera vs Plus Ultra
1:3
Apr 10, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Santomera vs Plus Ultra
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santomera Compare

Top Goalscorer El Aoud I.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Rubira Riquelme R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Plus Ultra Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santomera 84 / 100
Plus Ultra 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santomera Plus Ultra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santomera Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Plus Ultra's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Santomera scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Plus Ultra lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Santomera VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Santomera

(Home)
28 Aug
Santomera
3 : 1
Torrellano
22 Aug
Santomera
1 : 2
Ciudad Cieza
19 Aug
Santomera
1 : 4
Crevillente
10 May
Club Olimpico de Totana
3 : 1
Santomera
02 May
Santomera
2 : 1
FC Cartagena SAD B
Page 1 of 6

Plus Ultra

(Away)
11 May
Plus Ultra
3 : 3
Caravaca
04 May
Minerva
4 : 0
Plus Ultra
27 Apr
Plus Ultra
1 : 2
Muleno CF
20 Apr
E.G. El Palmar
5 : 0
Plus Ultra
12 Apr
Plus Ultra
0 : 1
Molinense
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lorca Deportiva 34 24 6 4 62:22 78
2 Ciudad Cieza 34 21 7 6 73:26 70
3 Molinense 34 18 13 3 54:24 67
4 Santomera 34 18 8 8 66:42 62
5 Aguilas FC B 34 18 8 8 52:23 62
6 CA Pulpileno 34 15 10 9 35:23 55
7 UCAM Murcia B 34 14 9 11 45:35 51
8 Real Murcia B 34 13 10 11 44:31 49
9 E.G. El Palmar 34 12 10 12 48:45 46
10 Bala Azul 34 10 14 10 34:27 44
11 Caravaca 34 11 10 13 35:41 43
12 Deportivo Maritimo 34 10 7 17 38:57 37
13 Muleno CF 34 9 10 15 29:49 37
14 FC Cartagena SAD B 34 9 9 16 27:43 36
15 Minerva 34 8 10 16 33:45 34
16 Bullense 34 7 9 18 29:58 30
17 Alcantarilla 34 7 7 20 21:65 28
18 Plus Ultra 34 2 3 29 23:92 9
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2024/2025 (Play Offs)