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Santomera vs UCAM Murcia B

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Espigares O.
13' Event
Martinez A.
24' Event
Momprevil D.

AI Match Summary

UCAM Murcia B in this Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored UCAM Murcia B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Santomera
35%
Draws
35%
UCAM Murcia B
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to UCAM Murcia B lately — more wins on the board than Santomera.
  • Model gives UCAM Murcia B a 35% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Santomera Clean Sheet 10%
UCAM Murcia B Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santomera UCAM Murcia B
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 7 12
Draws 5 14
Losses 16 4
Goals Scored 1.25 1.63
Goals Conceded 2.14 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Santomera vs UCAM Murcia B
2:4
Nov 9, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
UCAM Murcia B vs Santomera
2:2
Feb 9, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Santomera vs UCAM Murcia B
3:1
Sep 29, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
UCAM Murcia B vs Santomera
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santomera Compare

Top Goalscorer Momprevil D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pastor J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

UCAM Murcia B Compare

Top Goalscorer Espigares O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Martinez A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santomera 10 / 100
UCAM Murcia B 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santomera UCAM Murcia B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UCAM Murcia B Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.75 goals per match.

Santomera scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

UCAM Murcia B has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Santomera remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Santomera VS UCAM Murcia B
1.38 Goals Scored 2.75
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Santomera

(Home)
22 Aug
Santomera
1 : 2
Ciudad Cieza
19 Aug
Santomera
1 : 4
Crevillente
10 May
Club Olimpico de Totana
3 : 1
Santomera
02 May
Santomera
2 : 1
FC Cartagena SAD B
25 Apr
Real Murcia B
2 : 3
Santomera
Page 1 of 6

UCAM Murcia B

(Away)
10 May
Aguilas FC B
2 : 2
UCAM Murcia B
03 May
UCAM Murcia B
1 : 1
Muleno CF
26 Apr
UCAM Murcia B
3 : 3
Mazarron FC
19 Apr
E.G. El Palmar
0 : 4
UCAM Murcia B
11 Apr
UCAM Murcia B
1 : 1
Deportivo Maritimo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ciudad Cieza 34 21 10 3 65:21 73
2 Real Murcia B 34 17 8 9 59:44 59
3 Molinense 34 17 8 9 46:34 59
4 Club Olimpico de Totana 34 15 13 6 44:27 58
5 Mazarron FC 34 14 14 6 50:33 56
6 UCAM Murcia B 34 13 16 5 55:37 55
7 Aguilas FC B 34 14 10 10 47:42 52
8 CA Pulpileno 34 13 11 10 30:29 50
9 Santa Cruz 34 14 6 14 35:37 48
10 Minerva 34 11 11 12 28:39 44
11 Bala Azul 34 8 16 10 39:36 40
12 FC Cartagena SAD B 34 9 11 14 40:39 38
13 Deportivo Maritimo 34 9 9 16 38:46 36
14 E.G. El Palmar 34 8 8 18 27:48 32
15 Santomera 34 8 8 18 38:64 32
16 Caravaca 34 6 13 15 33:44 31
17 Muleno CF 34 6 13 15 33:58 31
18 Yeclano B 34 6 9 19 25:54 27
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026 (Play Offs)