Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 3 2013/2014

Atletico Albericia

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Santona play Atletico Albericia in the Tercera Division - Group 3 2013/2014. Atletico Albericia are favorites here. Recently, Santona averaged 0.97 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. Atletico Albericia averaged 1.66 goals scored and 1.31 conceded. In past meetings, Santona won 0, Atletico Albericia won 5, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 29, 2015 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.29 for Santona and 1.30 for Atletico Albericia. This points to a Atletico Albericia double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%

Santona

15%

Draws

57%

Atletico Albericia

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atletico Albericia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

83% / High Confidence

Santona picked up more points recently compared to Atletico Albericia.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.29 vs 1.30 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 69%

Over 2.5 Goals 48%

Over 3.5 Goals 29%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 52%

Santona Clean Sheet 19%

Atletico Albericia Clean Sheet 11%

First Half Goal 62%

Second Half Goal 66%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Santona	Atletico Albericia
Matches Played	30	32
Wins	7	15
Draws	7	5
Losses	16	12
Goals Scored	0.97	1.66
Goals Conceded	1.33	1.31

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 3

Santona vs Atletico Albericia

Possession: 48% - 43% Cards: 2 - 2

0:1

Dec 6, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 3

Atletico Albericia vs Santona

Possession: 44% - 51% Cards: 3 - 2

3:1

May 11, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 3

Santona vs Atletico Albericia

Possession: 58% - 45% Cards: 3 - 1

0:1

Jan 8, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 3

Atletico Albericia vs Santona

Possession: 40% - 54% Cards: 1 - 0

2:0

Feb 24, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 3

Atletico Albericia vs Santona

Possession: 54% - 55% Cards: 0 - 0

4:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santona 29 / 100

Atletico Albericia 54 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Santona Atletico Albericia

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atletico Albericia Win (2)

Secondary Pick Atletico Albericia & Under 3.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +40%

5.00

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +14.2%

2.38

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Santona attacking → ← attacking Atletico Albericia

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santona scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Atletico Albericia let in goals in 72% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Santona went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Atletico Albericia lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

28 Points in last 5 50

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.50

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Gimnastic de Torrelavega	38	27	8	3	82:18	89
2	CD Laredo	38	23	8	7	71:31	77
3	Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive)	38	21	9	8	60:37	72
4	UM Escobedo	38	19	14	5	50:30	71
5	CD Siete Villas	38	16	13	9	60:44	61
6	Cayon CD	38	18	7	13	46:36	61
7	Gama	38	16	10	12	44:34	58
8	Rayo Cantabria	38	14	12	12	52:39	54
9	Atletico Albericia	38	15	9	14	38:44	54
10	Buelna	38	14	11	13	46:46	53
11	Vimenor	38	11	18	9	49:48	51
12	Bezana	38	13	11	14	49:54	50
13	CD Colindres	38	12	10	16	43:59	46
14	Castro	38	12	6	20	47:63	42
15	Selaya	38	10	11	17	39:57	41
16	Barreda Balompie	38	11	8	19	48:67	41
17	Santona	38	11	8	19	42:59	41
18	Pontejos	38	10	7	21	47:78	37
19	Guarnizo	38	6	5	27	42:78	23
20	Ribamontan al Mar	38	3	11	24	31:64	20