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Santona vs Barreda Balompie - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera Division - Group 3 2013/2014
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 3 2013/2014 game between Santona and Barreda Balompie finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Barreda Balompie.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Santona
30%
Draws
47%
Barreda Balompie
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Barreda Balompie

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Barreda Balompie come out ahead of Santona on wins alone.
  • 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 3 2013/2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Santona Clean Sheet 16%
Barreda Balompie Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santona Barreda Balompie
Matches Played 31 38
Wins 7 12
Draws 8 10
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 1.03 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Santona vs Barreda Balompie
2:2
Dec 21, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Barreda Balompie vs Santona
1:0
Mar 2, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Santona vs Barreda Balompie
1:2
Oct 12, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Barreda Balompie vs Santona
4:4
May 11, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Barreda Balompie vs Santona
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santona 31 / 100
Barreda Balompie 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santona Barreda Balompie

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Barreda Balompie Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Barreda Balompie's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 38 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Santona's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Barreda Balompie lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Barreda Balompie
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Santona

(Home)
17 May
Rayo Cantabria
1 : 0
Santona
10 May
Santona
2 : 2
Barreda Balompie
02 May
Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive)
3 : 1
Santona
29 Apr
Santona
0 : 1
Atletico Albericia
26 Apr
CD Revilla
2 : 2
Santona
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Barreda Balompie

(Away)
10 May
Castro
2 : 2
Barreda Balompie
04 May
Barreda Balompie
1 : 0
CD Siete Villas
26 Apr
Atletico Albericia
2 : 1
Barreda Balompie
17 Apr
Barreda Balompie
0 : 1
Guarnizo
12 Apr
Vimenor
5 : 4
Barreda Balompie
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gimnastic de Torrelavega 38 27 8 3 82:18 89
2 CD Laredo 38 23 8 7 71:31 77
3 Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive) 38 21 9 8 60:37 72
4 UM Escobedo 38 19 14 5 50:30 71
5 CD Siete Villas 38 16 13 9 60:44 61
6 Cayon CD 38 18 7 13 46:36 61
7 Gama 38 16 10 12 44:34 58
8 Rayo Cantabria 38 14 12 12 52:39 54
9 Atletico Albericia 38 15 9 14 38:44 54
10 Buelna 38 14 11 13 46:46 53
11 Vimenor 38 11 18 9 49:48 51
12 Bezana 38 13 11 14 49:54 50
13 CD Colindres 38 12 10 16 43:59 46
14 Castro 38 12 6 20 47:63 42
15 Selaya 38 10 11 17 39:57 41
16 Barreda Balompie 38 11 8 19 48:67 41
17 Santona 38 11 8 19 42:59 41
18 Pontejos 38 10 7 21 47:78 37
19 Guarnizo 38 6 5 27 42:78 23
20 Ribamontan al Mar 38 3 11 24 31:64 20
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)