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Santona vs Bezana

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Tercera Division - Group 3 2013/2014
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 3 2013/2014 game between Santona and Bezana finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Santona.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Santona
35%
Draws
46%
Bezana
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Bezana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bezana come out ahead of Santona on wins alone.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Bezana taking it.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 3 2013/2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Santona Clean Sheet 20%
Bezana Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santona Bezana
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 11
Draws 7 6
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 0.97 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Santona vs Bezana
4:1
Sep 27, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Bezana vs Santona
0:0
Apr 5, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Santona vs Bezana
1:0
Nov 16, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Bezana vs Santona
2:1
Mar 3, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Santona vs Bezana
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santona 24 / 100
Bezana 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santona Bezana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bezana Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santona found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Bezana conceded in 68% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Santona went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Bezana
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Santona

(Home)
17 May
Rayo Cantabria
1 : 0
Santona
10 May
Santona
2 : 2
Barreda Balompie
02 May
Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive)
3 : 1
Santona
29 Apr
Santona
0 : 1
Atletico Albericia
26 Apr
CD Revilla
2 : 2
Santona
Page 1 of 6

Bezana

(Away)
14 Aug
Bezana
0 : 1
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
09 May
Bezana
1 : 1
Guarnizo
03 May
CD Colindres
0 : 3
Bezana
26 Apr
Bezana
1 : 2
Selaya
19 Apr
CD Laredo
1 : 1
Bezana
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gimnastic de Torrelavega 38 27 8 3 82:18 89
2 CD Laredo 38 23 8 7 71:31 77
3 Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive) 38 21 9 8 60:37 72
4 UM Escobedo 38 19 14 5 50:30 71
5 CD Siete Villas 38 16 13 9 60:44 61
6 Cayon CD 38 18 7 13 46:36 61
7 Gama 38 16 10 12 44:34 58
8 Rayo Cantabria 38 14 12 12 52:39 54
9 Atletico Albericia 38 15 9 14 38:44 54
10 Buelna 38 14 11 13 46:46 53
11 Vimenor 38 11 18 9 49:48 51
12 Bezana 38 13 11 14 49:54 50
13 CD Colindres 38 12 10 16 43:59 46
14 Castro 38 12 6 20 47:63 42
15 Selaya 38 10 11 17 39:57 41
16 Barreda Balompie 38 11 8 19 48:67 41
17 Santona 38 11 8 19 42:59 41
18 Pontejos 38 10 7 21 47:78 37
19 Guarnizo 38 6 5 27 42:78 23
20 Ribamontan al Mar 38 3 11 24 31:64 20
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)