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Santona vs Buelna

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 3 2013/2014
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 3 2013/2014 game between Santona and Buelna finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Santona
20%
Draws
60%
Buelna
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Buelna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Santona come out ahead of Buelna on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Santona Clean Sheet 17%
Buelna Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santona Buelna
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 7 6
Draws 8 6
Losses 16 19
Goals Scored 1.03 0.81
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.74
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Buelna vs Santona
0:0
Nov 15, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Santona vs Buelna
3:1
Apr 17, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Santona vs Buelna
1:1
Nov 30, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Buelna vs Santona
1:0
Apr 3, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Buelna vs Santona
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santona 30 / 100
Buelna 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santona Buelna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Buelna let in goals in 87% of their last 31 matches.

Santona scored in 61% of their last 31 games.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Buelna's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Santona VS Buelna
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Santona

(Home)
17 May
Rayo Cantabria
1 : 0
Santona
10 May
Santona
2 : 2
Barreda Balompie
02 May
Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive)
3 : 1
Santona
29 Apr
Santona
0 : 1
Atletico Albericia
26 Apr
CD Revilla
2 : 2
Santona
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Buelna

(Away)
17 May
Buelna
2 : 1
CD Colindres
10 May
Cayon CD
6 : 1
Buelna
03 May
Buelna
0 : 2
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
29 Apr
Castro
1 : 3
Buelna
26 Apr
Buelna
0 : 2
Bezana
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gimnastic de Torrelavega 38 27 8 3 82:18 89
2 CD Laredo 38 23 8 7 71:31 77
3 Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive) 38 21 9 8 60:37 72
4 UM Escobedo 38 19 14 5 50:30 71
5 CD Siete Villas 38 16 13 9 60:44 61
6 Cayon CD 38 18 7 13 46:36 61
7 Gama 38 16 10 12 44:34 58
8 Rayo Cantabria 38 14 12 12 52:39 54
9 Atletico Albericia 38 15 9 14 38:44 54
10 Buelna 38 14 11 13 46:46 53
11 Vimenor 38 11 18 9 49:48 51
12 Bezana 38 13 11 14 49:54 50
13 CD Colindres 38 12 10 16 43:59 46
14 Castro 38 12 6 20 47:63 42
15 Selaya 38 10 11 17 39:57 41
16 Barreda Balompie 38 11 8 19 48:67 41
17 Santona 38 11 8 19 42:59 41
18 Pontejos 38 10 7 21 47:78 37
19 Guarnizo 38 6 5 27 42:78 23
20 Ribamontan al Mar 38 3 11 24 31:64 20
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)