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Santona vs Castro - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 3 2013/2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 3 2013/2014 game between Santona and Castro finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Santona.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Santona
35%
Draws
46%
Castro
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Castro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Castro carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 46% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Santona have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Santona Clean Sheet 18%
Castro Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santona Castro
Matches Played 31 43
Wins 7 15
Draws 8 10
Losses 16 18
Goals Scored 1.03 1.44
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Castro vs Santona
1:2
Oct 5, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Santona vs Castro
1:0
Feb 1, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Santona vs Castro
2:0
Sep 14, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Castro vs Santona
0:1
Apr 14, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Castro vs Santona
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santona 32 / 100
Castro 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santona Castro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Castro Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santona found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (31 games).

Castro's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 43 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Santona went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Castro
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Santona

(Home)
17 May
Rayo Cantabria
1 : 0
Santona
10 May
Santona
2 : 2
Barreda Balompie
02 May
Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive)
3 : 1
Santona
29 Apr
Santona
0 : 1
Atletico Albericia
26 Apr
CD Revilla
2 : 2
Santona
Page 1 of 7

Castro

(Away)
04 Oct
Castro
0 : 2
CD Tropezon
27 Sept
Castro
0 : 2
Atletico Mineros
19 Sept
CD Revilla
2 : 2
Castro
13 Sept
Castro
2 : 0
Solares
06 Sept
Selaya
0 : 0
Castro
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gimnastic de Torrelavega 38 27 8 3 82:18 89
2 CD Laredo 38 23 8 7 71:31 77
3 Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive) 38 21 9 8 60:37 72
4 UM Escobedo 38 19 14 5 50:30 71
5 CD Siete Villas 38 16 13 9 60:44 61
6 Cayon CD 38 18 7 13 46:36 61
7 Gama 38 16 10 12 44:34 58
8 Rayo Cantabria 38 14 12 12 52:39 54
9 Atletico Albericia 38 15 9 14 38:44 54
10 Buelna 38 14 11 13 46:46 53
11 Vimenor 38 11 18 9 49:48 51
12 Bezana 38 13 11 14 49:54 50
13 CD Colindres 38 12 10 16 43:59 46
14 Castro 38 12 6 20 47:63 42
15 Selaya 38 10 11 17 39:57 41
16 Barreda Balompie 38 11 8 19 48:67 41
17 Santona 38 11 8 19 42:59 41
18 Pontejos 38 10 7 21 47:78 37
19 Guarnizo 38 6 5 27 42:78 23
20 Ribamontan al Mar 38 3 11 24 31:64 20
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)