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Santona vs Castro

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 3 2013/2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 3 2013/2014 game between Santona and Castro finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Santona.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Santona
20%
Draws
38%
Castro
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Santona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Castro carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Santona are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Santona have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Santona Clean Sheet 19%
Castro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santona Castro
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 9
Draws 7 6
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 0 1.5
Goals Conceded 0 2

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Castro vs Santona
1:2
Oct 5, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Santona vs Castro
1:0
Feb 1, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Santona vs Castro
2:0
Sep 14, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Castro vs Santona
0:1
Apr 14, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Castro vs Santona
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santona 42 / 100
Castro 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santona Castro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santona found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Castro's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 31 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Castro lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Castro
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Santona

(Home)
17 May
Rayo Cantabria
1 : 0
Santona
10 May
Santona
2 : 2
Barreda Balompie
02 May
Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive)
3 : 1
Santona
29 Apr
Santona
0 : 1
Atletico Albericia
26 Apr
CD Revilla
2 : 2
Santona
Page 1 of 6

Castro

(Away)
09 May
Castro
0 : 2
CD Tropezon
03 May
UC Cartes
0 : 0
Castro
26 Apr
Castro
2 : 3
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
18 Apr
CD Revilla
2 : 1
Castro
12 Apr
Castro
0 : 1
Guarnizo
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gimnastic de Torrelavega 38 27 8 3 82:18 89
2 CD Laredo 38 23 8 7 71:31 77
3 Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive) 38 21 9 8 60:37 72
4 UM Escobedo 38 19 14 5 50:30 71
5 CD Siete Villas 38 16 13 9 60:44 61
6 Cayon CD 38 18 7 13 46:36 61
7 Gama 38 16 10 12 44:34 58
8 Rayo Cantabria 38 14 12 12 52:39 54
9 Atletico Albericia 38 15 9 14 38:44 54
10 Buelna 38 14 11 13 46:46 53
11 Vimenor 38 11 18 9 49:48 51
12 Bezana 38 13 11 14 49:54 50
13 CD Colindres 38 12 10 16 43:59 46
14 Castro 38 12 6 20 47:63 42
15 Selaya 38 10 11 17 39:57 41
16 Barreda Balompie 38 11 8 19 48:67 41
17 Santona 38 11 8 19 42:59 41
18 Pontejos 38 10 7 21 47:78 37
19 Guarnizo 38 6 5 27 42:78 23
20 Ribamontan al Mar 38 3 11 24 31:64 20
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)