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Santos AP vs SAO Jose

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Amapaense 2011
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AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Amapaense 2011 game between Santos AP and SAO Jose finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Santos AP.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Santos AP
35%
Draws
20%
SAO Jose
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Santos AP

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Santos AP come out ahead of SAO Jose on wins alone.
  • Santos AP are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Santos AP Clean Sheet 14%
SAO Jose Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santos AP SAO Jose
Matches Played 40 37
Wins 18 12
Draws 13 10
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1.8 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Amapaense
SAO Jose vs Santos AP
0:4
Feb 12, 2026 Amapaense
Santos AP vs SAO Jose
1:2
Aug 6, 2015 Amapaense
Santos AP vs SAO Jose
1:1
Aug 10, 2013 Amapaense
Santos AP vs SAO Jose
0:0
Jul 29, 2012 Amapaense
SAO Jose vs Santos AP
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santos AP 84 / 100
SAO Jose 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santos AP SAO Jose

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santos AP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santos AP found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (40 games).

Defensive concern: SAO Jose conceded in 81% of 37 recent games.

Recent resilience: Santos AP stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Santos AP VS SAO Jose
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Santos AP

(Home)
28 Mar
SAO Jose
0 : 4
Santos AP
24 Mar
Oratorio
1 : 2
Santos AP
21 Mar
Santos AP
1 : 1
Oratorio
15 Mar
Santos AP
5 : 0
Macapa
08 Mar
Santos AP
1 : 1
Trem
Page 1 of 8

SAO Jose

(Away)
28 Mar
SAO Jose
0 : 4
Santos AP
23 Mar
SAO Jose
2 : 2
Independente AP
20 Mar
Independente AP
2 : 2
SAO Jose
17 Mar
Independente AP
1 : 2
SAO Jose
11 Mar
SAO Jose
1 : 2
Oratorio
Page 1 of 8

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santos AP 5 3 2 0 8:4 11
2 Ypiranga AP 5 2 2 1 5:4 8
3 Cristal AP 5 2 0 3 5:6 6
4 Trem 5 1 2 2 4:4 5
5 Santana EC 5 0 1 4 4:15 1
Promotion - Campeonato Amapaense 2011 (First stage - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Oratorio 5 3 2 0 9:2 11
2 Mazagao 5 3 1 1 10:4 10
3 SAO Jose 5 2 1 2 6:5 7
4 Independente AP 5 1 2 2 3:4 5
5 Sao Paulo AP 5 1 1 3 5:11 4
Promotion - Campeonato Amapaense 2011 (First stage - Play Offs)