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Santos AP vs Sao Paulo AP

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Amapaense 2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Santos AP in this Campeonato Amapaense 2019 matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Santos AP.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Santos AP
17%
Draws
13%
Sao Paulo AP
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Santos AP

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Santos AP lately — more wins on the board than Sao Paulo AP.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Santos AP taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 93%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 39.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Santos AP Clean Sheet 11%
Sao Paulo AP Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santos AP Sao Paulo AP
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 14 6
Draws 9 4
Losses 9 20
Goals Scored 1.63 1.71
Goals Conceded 1.88 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.71
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2024 Amapaense
Santos AP vs Sao Paulo AP
0:0
May 29, 2023 Amapaense
Sao Paulo AP vs Santos AP
0:5
Apr 30, 2022 Amapaense
Sao Paulo AP vs Santos AP
0:3
Aug 31, 2021 Amapaense
Santos AP vs Sao Paulo AP
4:1
Sep 7, 2020 Amapaense
Sao Paulo AP vs Santos AP
2:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santos AP 65 / 100
Sao Paulo AP 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santos AP Sao Paulo AP

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santos AP found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (32 games).

Sao Paulo AP's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Santos AP went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Santos AP VS Sao Paulo AP
1.63 Goals Scored 1.71
1.88 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 86%
88% Over 2.5 57%
50% Over 3.5 29%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Trem2
Ypiranga AP3
Sao Paulo AP0
Santos AP6
Final
Ypiranga AP1
Santos AP2