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Santos De Guapiles vs Verdes - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF League 2021 Estadio Ebal Rodriguez Aguilar, Guápiles
Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Ramirez C.
12' Event
Paradela L.
26' Event
Rodriguez O.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Santos De Guapiles in this CONCACAF League 2021 tie, finishing 5-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Santos De Guapiles
20%
Draws
0%
Verdes
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Santos De Guapiles

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Santos De Guapiles lately — more wins on the board than Verdes.
  • Model gives Santos De Guapiles a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Santos De Guapiles have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Santos De Guapiles, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Santos De Guapiles Clean Sheet 68%
Verdes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santos De Guapiles Verdes
Matches Played 32 25
Wins 13 1
Draws 7 3
Losses 12 21
Goals Scored 1.44 0.52
Goals Conceded 1.31 3.6
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 19, 2021 CONCACAF League
Santos De Guapiles vs Verdes
5:1
Aug 6, 2021 CONCACAF League
Verdes vs Santos De Guapiles
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santos De Guapiles Compare

Top Goalscorer Paradela L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lopez B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.88
Avg xA / game 1.22

Verdes Compare

Top Goalscorer Fajardo C. A. M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santos De Guapiles 95 / 100
Verdes 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santos De Guapiles Verdes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santos De Guapiles Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Verdes let in goals in 92% of their last 24 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Verdes lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Santos De Guapiles found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (32 games).

Scoring Trends

Santos De Guapiles VS Verdes
1 Goals Scored 0.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 3.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Santos De Guapiles

(Home)
07 May
San Carlos
3 : 0
Santos De Guapiles
03 May
Santos De Guapiles
3 : 1
Zeledon
26 Apr
Santa Ana
3 : 3
Santos De Guapiles
19 Apr
Santos De Guapiles
1 : 1
Puntarenas FC
16 Apr
Herediano
2 : 1
Santos De Guapiles
Page 1 of 7

Verdes

(Away)
19 Aug
Cartagines
4 : 0
Verdes
13 Aug
FAS
4 : 1
Verdes
07 Aug
Verdes
0 : 1
Municipal
29 Jul
Verdes
0 : 5
Motagua
21 Aug
Cartagines
8 : 1
Verdes
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Verdes 1
Santos De Guapiles 6
TBD -
Plaza Amador -
Forge FC 5
FAS 3
TBD -
Independiente -
Diriangen 1
Marathon 3
TBD -
Esteli -
Samaritaine -
Union Deportivo Universitario -
TBD -
Motagua -
Inter Moengotapoe -
TBD -
TBD -
Olimpia -
Guastatoya -
TBD -
TBD -
Alajuelense -
Santa Lucia 5
Metropolitan FA 1
TBD -
Saprissa -
Comunicaciones 4
11 Deportivo 1
TBD -
Alianza FC -
1/8-finals
Santos De Guapiles 3
Plaza Amador 0
Forge FC 2
Independiente 0
Marathon 3
Esteli 2
Union Deportivo Universitario 2
Motagua 3
Inter Moengotapoe 0
Olimpia 6
Guastatoya 3
Alajuelense 3
Santa Lucia 2
Saprissa 6
Comunicaciones 3
Alianza FC 1
Quarter-finals
Santos De Guapiles 3
Forge FC 4
Marathon 0
Motagua 4
TBD -
Guastatoya -
Saprissa 5
Comunicaciones 5
Semi-finals
Forge FC 2
Motagua 2
Guastatoya 1
Comunicaciones 3
Final
Motagua 3
Comunicaciones 6