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Santos FC vs Comerciantes FC

Peru Peru

Liga 2 2025 Estadio Municipal de Nasca
Our Tip

Match Events

22'
Valverde M.
52'
Sub
Condena A. In: Cavero G.
Out: Condena A.
53'
Catashunga J.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 2 2025 game between Santos FC and Comerciantes FC finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Santos FC
39%
Draws
30%
Comerciantes FC
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Santos FC have managed 1 goals a game lately — Comerciantes FC are scoring more at 1.13.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Liga 2 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Santos FC Clean Sheet 22%
Comerciantes FC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santos FC Comerciantes FC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 12
Draws 5 12
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 1 1.13
Goals Conceded 1 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Liga 2
Comerciantes FC vs Santos FC
1:0
Sep 21, 2025 Liga 2
Santos FC vs Comerciantes FC
0:0
Aug 16, 2025 Liga 2
Comerciantes FC vs Santos FC
3:0
May 25, 2025 Liga 2
Comerciantes FC vs Santos FC
3:2
Apr 5, 2025 Liga 2
Santos FC vs Comerciantes FC
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santos FC 32 / 100
Comerciantes FC 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santos FC Comerciantes FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick COM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Santos FC scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Comerciantes FC conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Santos FC went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Santos FC VS Comerciantes FC
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Cajamarca833210:814
2Moquegua833214:1113
3Cesar Vallejo832310:1011
4Tacna Heroica824211:1210
5Carlos Mannucci822415:198
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Union Comercio870118:421
2Comerciantes FC823312:711
3ADA Jaen82429:910
4Santos FC831410:1110
5San Marcos81254:226