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Santos FC vs Tacna Heroica

Peru Peru

Liga 2
Our Tip

Match Events

5'
Aguirre L.
14'
Estacio M.
40'
Perez A.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 2 game between Santos FC and Tacna Heroica finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Santos FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Santos FC
28%
Draws
50%
Tacna Heroica
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Tacna Heroica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Tacna Heroica haven't matched Santos FC's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Tacna Heroica a 50% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Santos FC have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Santos FC Clean Sheet 17%
Tacna Heroica Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santos FC Tacna Heroica
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 12
Draws 4 8
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Liga 2
Santos FC vs Tacna Heroica
2:1
Jun 22, 2025 Liga 2
Tacna Heroica vs Santos FC
4:0
May 2, 2025 Liga 2
Santos FC vs Tacna Heroica
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santos FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Curiel M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Estacio M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Tacna Heroica Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopez M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santos FC 23 / 100
Tacna Heroica 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santos FC Tacna Heroica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick EGB Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Santos FC found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Tacna Heroica conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Santos FC stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Santos FC VS Tacna Heroica
1 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Santos FC

(Home)
19 Jul
Santos FC
3 : 1
Binacional
28 Jun
Los Chankas
3 : 0
Santos FC
21 Jun
Santos FC
2 : 1
Ayacucho
29 May
Santos FC
0 : 1
Union Minas
23 May
Estudiantil CNI
3 : 0
Santos FC
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Tacna Heroica

(Away)
19 Jul
Tacna Heroica
2 : 1
Union Minas
11 Jul
Sporting Cristal
2 : 1
Tacna Heroica
21 Jun
Moquegua
3 : 2
Tacna Heroica
12 Jun
Tacna Heroica
3 : 2
FBC Melgar
30 May
Tacna Heroica
3 : 1
Estudiantil CNI
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Llacuabamba961214:419
2Pirata961216:919
3Union Comercio85218:217
4Carlos Mannucci952211:717
5U. San Martin822411:108
6ADA Jaen81525:68
7Cesar Vallejo72146:87
8AD Cantolao91269:185
9San Marcos50051:170
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Comerciantes FC945012:617
2Tacna Heroica943210:815
3Alianza Huanuco942312:914
4Santos FC942310:914
5Sport Huancayo 293338:912
6Ayacucho92437:810
7Estudiantil CNI82339:99
8Union Minas91534:68
9Binacional91357:156
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 (Relegation Group)