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Santos FC vs Union Minas

Peru Peru

Liga 2 Estadio Municipal de Nasca
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Tello Y.
14'
Delgado M.
15'
Quina M.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 2 game between Santos FC and Union Minas finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Union Minas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Santos FC
40%
Draws
29%
Union Minas
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Santos FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Santos FC Clean Sheet 20%
Union Minas Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santos FC Union Minas
Matches Played 29 17
Wins 12 5
Draws 4 6
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 1 0.38
Goals Conceded 1 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2026 Liga 2
Santos FC vs Union Minas
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santos FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Union Minas Compare

Top Goalscorer Campos A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santos FC 32 / 100
Union Minas 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santos FC Union Minas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santos FC found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Union Minas's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Union Minas let in goals in 41% of their last 17 matches.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Santos FC VS Union Minas
1 Goals Scored 0.38
1 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 13%
50% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Llacuabamba861114:319
2Union Comercio85218:217
3Pirata851213:716
4Carlos Mannucci842210:714
5U. San Martin72239:78
6ADA Jaen71425:67
7Cesar Vallejo72146:87
8AD Cantolao81169:184
9San Marcos50051:170
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Comerciantes FC844011:516
2Tacna Heroica83328:712
3Alianza Huanuco83239:711
4Sport Huancayo 283237:811
5Santos FC83237:811
6Ayacucho82425:510
7Estudiantil CNI82339:99
8Union Minas81523:48
9Binacional81346:126