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Santos Laguna vs Atlas

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Estadio Corona, Torreón
Our Tip

Match Events

30'
Gruezo C.
45'
Gustavo Ferrareis
64' Event
Zaldivar E.

AI Match Summary

The Liga MX game between Santos Laguna and Atlas finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Atlas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Santos Laguna
30%
Draws
23%
Atlas
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Santos Laguna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Santos Laguna haven't matched Atlas's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Santos Laguna a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Santos Laguna Clean Sheet 17%
Atlas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santos Laguna Atlas
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 10
Draws 3 7
Losses 18 13
Goals Scored 1.1 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 Liga MX
Santos Laguna vs Atlas
0:1
Apr 19, 2026 Liga MX
Santos Laguna vs Atlas
0:1
Sep 14, 2025 Liga MX
Atlas vs Santos Laguna
2:2
Feb 23, 2025 Liga MX
Santos Laguna vs Atlas
2:0
Jul 17, 2024 Liga MX
Atlas vs Santos Laguna
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santos Laguna Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Atlas Compare

Top Goalscorer Zaldivar E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santos Laguna 48 / 100
Atlas 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santos Laguna Atlas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santos Laguna Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 6:4
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santos Laguna scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Atlas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Santos Laguna stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Santos Laguna VS Atlas
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Santos Laguna

(Home)
27 Sept
Santos Laguna
1 : 0
Pachuca
21 Sept
Toluca
2 : 3
Santos Laguna
14 Sept
Santos Laguna
2 : 1
Juarez
06 Sept
Cruz Azul
1 : 0
Santos Laguna
30 Aug
Santos Laguna
0 : 0
Tigres UANL
Page 1 of 6

Atlas

(Away)
26 Sept
Club Tijuana
2 : 3
Atlas
19 Sept
Atlas
1 : 1
UNAM Pumas
12 Sept
Toluca
5 : 2
Atlas
06 Sept
Atlas
1 : 1
Atlante
29 Aug
Atlas
1 : 3
Queretaro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toluca 10 6 2 2 23:12 20
2 Club America 9 6 2 1 21:10 20
3 Guadalajara Chivas 10 5 3 2 17:10 18
4 Queretaro 9 5 2 2 13:8 17
5 Club Leon 10 5 2 3 14:11 17
6 Atlas 10 5 2 3 16:17 17
7 Cruz Azul 10 5 1 4 19:18 16
8 Club Tijuana 9 4 2 3 14:13 14
9 Puebla 10 4 2 4 11:12 14
10 Monterrey 9 4 1 4 16:14 13
11 Pachuca 10 3 3 4 15:11 12
12 UNAM Pumas 10 3 3 4 14:16 12
13 Atletico San Luis 10 3 3 4 14:18 12
14 Atlante 10 2 5 3 12:15 11
15 Tigres UANL 10 2 4 4 10:13 10
16 Santos Laguna 10 3 1 6 10:15 10
17 Necaxa 10 2 2 6 12:20 8
18 Juarez 10 1 0 9 7:25 3
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs)