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Santos Laguna W vs Pachuca W

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Women Estadio Corona
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Nabweteme S.
46'
Sub
Romero Torres L. M. In: Guevara Ortega C.
Out: Romero Torres L. M.
46'
Sub
Ibarra B. In: Pereira A.
Out: Ibarra B.

AI Match Summary

Pachuca W in this Liga MX Women matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pachuca W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Santos Laguna W
33%
Draws
40%
Pachuca W
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Pachuca W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Pachuca W have won more games recently than Santos Laguna W.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Pachuca W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Pachuca W have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Santos Laguna W Clean Sheet 10%
Pachuca W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santos Laguna W Pachuca W
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 4 20
Draws 5 4
Losses 21 7
Goals Scored 1 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.86 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 Liga MX Women
Santos Laguna W vs Pachuca W
1:2
Aug 9, 2025 Liga MX Women
Pachuca W vs Santos Laguna W
3:1
Feb 14, 2025 Liga MX Women
Santos Laguna W vs Pachuca W
1:3
Sep 16, 2024 Liga MX Women
Pachuca W vs Santos Laguna W
3:0
Mar 26, 2024 Liga MX Women
Pachuca W vs Santos Laguna W
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santos Laguna W Compare

Top Goalscorer Nabweteme S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Pachuca W Compare

Top Goalscorer Corral V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Aline Gomes
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santos Laguna W 26 / 100
Pachuca W 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santos Laguna W Pachuca W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Santos Laguna W found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Pachuca W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 31 matches.

Solid form: Santos Laguna W remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Santos Laguna W VS Pachuca W
1 Goals Scored 2.13
1.86 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
57% Over 2.5 63%
14% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Club America W17133144:1342
2Monterrey W17124139:840
3Tigres UANL W17114241:1337
4Pachuca W17113346:1536
5Guadalajara Chivas W1797127:1334
6Toluca W17103438:2633
7Cruz Azul W1794438:1931
8Juarez W1785427:1829
9Club Tijuana W1784531:2328
10UNAM Pumas W1764723:2922
11Atletico San Luis W1763820:3221
12Mazatlan FC W1753919:2718
13Club Leon W1744932:3516
14Atlas W17331122:4012
15Puebla W17321211:4611
16Santos Laguna W17231214:299
17Queretaro W17121411:465
18Necaxa W17111511:624