Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Santos Laguna W vs Pachuca W

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Women 2025/2026 Estadio Corona, Torreón
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Nabweteme S.
46'
Sub
Romero Torres L. M. In: Guevara Ortega C.
Out: Romero Torres L. M.
46'
Sub
Ibarra B. In: Pereira A.
Out: Ibarra B.

AI Match Summary

Pachuca W in this Liga MX Women 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pachuca W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Santos Laguna W
15%
Draws
21%
Pachuca W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Santos Laguna W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Pachuca W have won more games recently than Santos Laguna W.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Santos Laguna W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Pachuca W have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Santos Laguna W Clean Sheet 13%
Pachuca W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santos Laguna W Pachuca W
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 8 18
Draws 3 4
Losses 19 11
Goals Scored 1.03 2.27
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.12
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Liga MX Women
Pachuca W vs Santos Laguna W
4:1
Apr 3, 2026 Liga MX Women
Santos Laguna W vs Pachuca W
1:2
Aug 9, 2025 Liga MX Women
Pachuca W vs Santos Laguna W
3:1
Feb 14, 2025 Liga MX Women
Santos Laguna W vs Pachuca W
1:3
Sep 16, 2024 Liga MX Women
Pachuca W vs Santos Laguna W
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santos Laguna W Compare

Top Goalscorer Nabweteme S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Pachuca W Compare

Top Goalscorer Corral V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Aline Gomes
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santos Laguna W 48 / 100
Pachuca W 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santos Laguna W Pachuca W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santos Laguna W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Santos Laguna W found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Pachuca W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 33 matches.

Solid form: Santos Laguna W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Santos Laguna W VS Pachuca W
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Santos Laguna W

(Home)
02 Oct
Santos Laguna W
1 : 0
Puebla W
26 Sept
Pachuca W
4 : 1
Santos Laguna W
22 Sept
Santos Laguna W
2 : 0
Cruz Azul W
13 Sept
Atletico San Luis W
2 : 3
Santos Laguna W
07 Sept
Tigres UANL W
3 : 0
Santos Laguna W
Page 1 of 6

Pachuca W

(Away)
05 Oct
Pachuca W
1 : 2
Toluca W
26 Sept
Pachuca W
4 : 1
Santos Laguna W
20 Sept
Atletico San Luis W
2 : 1
Pachuca W
15 Sept
Pachuca W
0 : 1
Club Leon W
06 Sept
Club Tijuana W
3 : 1
Pachuca W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club America W 17 13 3 1 44:13 42
2 Monterrey W 17 12 4 1 39:8 40
3 Tigres UANL W 17 11 4 2 41:13 37
4 Pachuca W 17 11 3 3 46:15 36
5 Guadalajara Chivas W 17 9 7 1 27:13 34
6 Toluca W 17 10 3 4 38:26 33
7 Cruz Azul W 17 9 4 4 38:19 31
8 Juarez W 17 8 5 4 27:18 29
9 Club Tijuana W 17 8 4 5 31:23 28
10 UNAM Pumas W 17 6 4 7 23:29 22
11 Atletico San Luis W 17 6 3 8 20:32 21
12 Mazatlan FC W 17 5 3 9 19:27 18
13 Club Leon W 17 4 4 9 32:35 16
14 Atlas W 17 3 3 11 22:40 12
15 Puebla W 17 3 2 12 11:46 11
16 Santos Laguna W 17 2 3 12 14:29 9
17 Queretaro W 17 1 2 14 11:46 5
18 Necaxa W 17 1 1 15 11:62 4
Promotion - Liga MX Women 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)