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Santos Tartu vs Maardu Linnameeskond

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga 2018
Our Tip

Match Events

5'
Meus O.
17' Event
Gussev V.
19' Event
Koivastik K.

AI Match Summary

The Esiliiga 2018 game between Santos Tartu and Maardu Linnameeskond finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Santos Tartu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Santos Tartu
15%
Draws
54%
Maardu Linnameeskond
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Maardu Linnameeskond

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Maardu Linnameeskond carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Maardu Linnameeskond have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Santos Tartu Clean Sheet 17%
Maardu Linnameeskond Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santos Tartu Maardu Linnameeskond
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 11 15
Draws 6 5
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.47 1.81
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.84
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2018 Esiliiga
Maardu Linnameeskond vs Santos Tartu
5:0
Jul 21, 2018 Esiliiga
Santos Tartu vs Maardu Linnameeskond
0:5
May 24, 2018 Esiliiga
Santos Tartu vs Maardu Linnameeskond
2:1
Apr 5, 2018 Esiliiga
Maardu Linnameeskond vs Santos Tartu
4:0
Sep 16, 2017 Esiliiga
Maardu Linnameeskond vs Santos Tartu
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santos Tartu Compare

Top Goalscorer Koivastik K.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Maardu Linnameeskond Compare

Top Goalscorer Gussev V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.79

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santos Tartu 36 / 100
Maardu Linnameeskond 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santos Tartu Maardu Linnameeskond

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maardu Linnameeskond Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Maardu Linnameeskond conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.60 goals per match.

Santos Tartu's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Santos Tartu went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Maardu Linnameeskond
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Santos Tartu

(Home)
11 Nov
Santos Tartu
0 : 0
Flora Tallinn U21
04 Nov
Tartu JK Welco
1 : 3
Santos Tartu
29 Oct
Santos Tartu
1 : 0
Levadia U21
20 Oct
Elva
1 : 0
Santos Tartu
06 Oct
Keila JK
4 : 0
Santos Tartu
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Maardu Linnameeskond

(Away)
19 Sept
Levadia U21
:
Maardu Linnameeskond
06 Sept
Maardu Linnameeskond
2 : 1
Nomme Utd U21
29 Aug
Maardu Linnameeskond
4 : 2
Levadia U21
24 Aug
Tallinna Kalev
1 : 3
Maardu Linnameeskond
20 Aug
Elva
1 : 0
Maardu Linnameeskond
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maardu Linnameeskond 36 29 1 6 126:38 88
2 Flora Tallinn U21 36 21 8 7 115:31 71
3 Levadia U21 36 18 7 11 67:56 61
4 Elva 36 15 10 11 51:64 55
5 Rakvere 36 14 10 12 59:60 52
6 Tartu JK Welco 36 12 6 18 44:78 42
7 Santos Tartu 36 11 8 17 47:68 41
8 Tallinna Kalev U21 36 10 9 17 37:52 39
9 Keila JK 36 10 5 21 41:88 35
10 Kalju U21 36 5 6 25 37:89 21
Relegation - Esiliiga 2018 (Relegation)
Promotion - Meistriliiga 2019 (Main)
Promotion - Esiliiga 2018 (Promotion)