Sport Picks

Estonia

Esiliiga 2018

Santos Tartu

2 - 1

Maardu Linnameeskond

Our Tip

Match Events

Meus O.

17'

Gussev V.

19'

Koivastik K.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Esiliiga 2018 game between Santos Tartu and Maardu Linnameeskond finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Santos Tartu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Santos Tartu

33%

Draws

27%

Maardu Linnameeskond

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Santos Tartu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Maardu Linnameeskond carry the better recent record into this one.
40% — that's where the model lands on Santos Tartu taking it.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
These two have met 5 times recently and Maardu Linnameeskond have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%

Santos Tartu Clean Sheet 20%

Maardu Linnameeskond Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Santos Tartu	Maardu Linnameeskond
Matches Played	30	34
Wins	11	15
Draws	6	8
Losses	13	11
Goals Scored	0	1.25
Goals Conceded	0	2.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2018 Esiliiga

Maardu Linnameeskond vs Santos Tartu

Possession: 57% - 40% Cards: 3 - 0

5:0

Jul 21, 2018 Esiliiga

Santos Tartu vs Maardu Linnameeskond

Possession: 56% - 57% Cards: 2 - 3

0:5

May 24, 2018 Esiliiga

Santos Tartu vs Maardu Linnameeskond

Possession: 51% - 52% Cards: 1 - 2

2:1

Apr 5, 2018 Esiliiga

Maardu Linnameeskond vs Santos Tartu

Possession: 52% - 52% Cards: 3 - 2

4:0

Sep 16, 2017 Esiliiga

Maardu Linnameeskond vs Santos Tartu

Possession: 56% - 43% Cards: 0 - 1

5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santos Tartu Compare

Top Goalscorer Koivastik K.

2 Goals

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Maardu Linnameeskond Compare

Top Goalscorer Gussev V.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santos Tartu 40 / 100

Maardu Linnameeskond 26 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Santos Tartu Maardu Linnameeskond

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Maardu Linnameeskond conceded in 82% of 34 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.60 goals per match.

Santos Tartu's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Santos Tartu went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Maardu Linnameeskond

0 Goals Scored 1.25

0 Goals Conceded 2.5

0% Over 1.5 100%

0% Over 2.5 63%

0% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Maardu Linnameeskond	36	29	1	6	126:38	88
2	Flora Tallinn U21	36	21	8	7	115:31	71
3	Levadia U21	36	18	7	11	67:56	61
4	Elva	36	15	10	11	51:64	55
5	Rakvere	36	14	10	12	59:60	52
6	Tartu JK Welco	36	12	6	18	44:78	42
7	Santos Tartu	36	11	8	17	47:68	41
8	Tallinna Kalev U21	36	10	9	17	37:52	39
9	Keila JK	36	10	5	21	41:88	35
10	Kalju U21	36	5	6	25	37:89	21