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Santos Tartu vs Tallinna Kalev U21

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga 2018
Our Tip

Match Events

48'
Shevyakov D.
51' Event
Reimaa R.
54'
Sub
Koivastik K. In: Aus A.
Out: Koivastik K.

AI Match Summary

Tallinna Kalev U21 in this Esiliiga 2018 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tallinna Kalev U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Santos Tartu
15%
Draws
39%
Tallinna Kalev U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Santos Tartu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Santos Tartu lately — more wins on the board than Tallinna Kalev U21.
  • Model gives Santos Tartu a 46% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Santos Tartu Clean Sheet 11%
Tallinna Kalev U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santos Tartu Tallinna Kalev U21
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 11 10
Draws 6 6
Losses 13 16
Goals Scored 1.47 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.83 2.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.85 1.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 24, 2018 Esiliiga
Santos Tartu vs Tallinna Kalev U21
4:1
Aug 11, 2018 Esiliiga
Tallinna Kalev U21 vs Santos Tartu
1:1
Apr 29, 2018 Esiliiga
Tallinna Kalev U21 vs Santos Tartu
1:0
Mar 18, 2018 Esiliiga
Santos Tartu vs Tallinna Kalev U21
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santos Tartu Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.93

Tallinna Kalev U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Reimaa R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bachmann B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santos Tartu 56 / 100
Tallinna Kalev U21 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santos Tartu Tallinna Kalev U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santos Tartu Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tallinna Kalev U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 94% of 32 matches.

Santos Tartu scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Solid form: Santos Tartu remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Tallinna Kalev U21
0 Goals Scored 2.5
0 Goals Conceded 2.5
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Santos Tartu

(Home)
11 Nov
Santos Tartu
0 : 0
Flora Tallinn U21
04 Nov
Tartu JK Welco
1 : 3
Santos Tartu
29 Oct
Santos Tartu
1 : 0
Levadia U21
20 Oct
Elva
1 : 0
Santos Tartu
06 Oct
Keila JK
4 : 0
Santos Tartu
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Tallinna Kalev U21

(Away)
03 Oct
Tulevik
1 : 3
Tallinna Kalev U21
19 Sept
Tallinna Kalev U21
1 : 2
Narva U21
14 Sept
Johvi Phoenix
4 : 3
Tallinna Kalev U21
11 Sept
Tallinna Kalev U21
4 : 1
Tabasalu
06 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
7 : 0
Tallinna Kalev U21
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maardu Linnameeskond 36 29 1 6 126:38 88
2 Flora Tallinn U21 36 21 8 7 115:31 71
3 Levadia U21 36 18 7 11 67:56 61
4 Elva 36 15 10 11 51:64 55
5 Rakvere 36 14 10 12 59:60 52
6 Tartu JK Welco 36 12 6 18 44:78 42
7 Santos Tartu 36 11 8 17 47:68 41
8 Tallinna Kalev U21 36 10 9 17 37:52 39
9 Keila JK 36 10 5 21 41:88 35
10 Kalju U21 36 5 6 25 37:89 21
Relegation - Esiliiga 2018 (Relegation)
Promotion - Meistriliiga 2019 (Main)
Promotion - Esiliiga 2018 (Promotion)