Sport Picks
Santos vs Chapecoense-SC
Brazil
Serie A Betano Vila Belmiro, Sao Paulo 
AI Match Summary
Santos host Chapecoense-SC in the Serie A Betano. This has Santos written all over it on paper. Santos have averaged 1.75 scored and 1.38 conceded recently, against Chapecoense-SC's 1.5 scored and 1.63 conceded. Past meetings favor Santos slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 28, 2026, ending 4:2. Model xG sits at 1.20 vs 1.00, favoring Santos. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Santos lately — more wins on the board than Chapecoense-SC.
- Model gives Santos a 60% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Santos | Chapecoense-SC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 9 | 8 |
| Draws | 11 | 7 |
| Losses | 9 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.75 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.38 | 1.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Santos scored in 86% of their last 29 games.
Chapecoense-SC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 28 matches.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Recent resilience: Santos stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Santos
(Home)Chapecoense-SC
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palmeiras | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 30:13 | 41 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 31:16 | 34 |
| 3 | Fluminense | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 29:24 | 32 |
| 4 | Bragantino | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 26:20 | 30 |
| 5 | Athletico-PR | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 24:18 | 30 |
| 6 | Bahia | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 27:23 | 29 |
| 7 | Coritiba | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 24:24 | 26 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 23:20 | 25 |
| 9 | Botafogo RJ | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 33:32 | 25 |
| 10 | Vitoria | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 22:25 | 25 |
| 11 | Atletico-MG | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 22:23 | 24 |
| 12 | Corinthians | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 18:19 | 24 |
| 13 | Cruzeiro | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 24:28 | 24 |
| 14 | Internacional | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 21:22 | 21 |
| 15 | Santos | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 27:31 | 21 |
| 16 | Gremio | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 21:25 | 21 |
| 17 | Vasco | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 22:30 | 20 |
| 18 | Mirassol | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 20:25 | 19 |
| 19 | Remo | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 21:29 | 18 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-SC | 18 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 17:35 | 9 |