Sport Picks

South America

Copa Sudamericana Estadio Urbano Caldeira, Santos

Santos

3 - 0

Dep. Cuenca

Our Tip

Match Events

14'

Gabriel Barbosa

Assist: Igor Vinicius

16'

Boolsen P.

26'

Gustavo Henrique

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-0. This leg finished 3-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%

Santos

20%

Draws

24%

Dep. Cuenca

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Santos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence

Santos have won more games recently than Dep. Cuenca.
Santos are the model's pick here, at 60%.
Santos have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Santos, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 13%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%

Santos Clean Sheet 20%

Dep. Cuenca Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Santos	Dep. Cuenca
Matches Played	30	29
Wins	15	7
Draws	9	7
Losses	6	15
Goals Scored	1.67	0.69
Goals Conceded	1.17	1.38
Expected Goals (xG)	1.19	0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 27, 2026 Copa Sudamericana

Santos vs Dep. Cuenca

3:0

Apr 8, 2026 Copa Sudamericana

Dep. Cuenca vs Santos

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santos Compare

Top Goalscorer Gabriel Barbosa

1 Goals

Assists Leader Gabriel Bontempo

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.92

Avg xA / game 0.59

Dep. Cuenca Compare

Avg xG / game 0.63

Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santos 58 / 100

Dep. Cuenca 19 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Santos Dep. Cuenca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santos Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Santos scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Dep. Cuenca conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Santos has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Santos VS Dep. Cuenca

1.25 Goals Scored 0.5

0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13

63% Over 1.5 50%

50% Over 2.5 25%

13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Santos

(Home)

19 Sept

Remo

1 : 2

Santos

16 Sept

Atletico-MG

5 : 2

Santos

13 Sept

Santos

2 : 1

Cruzeiro

09 Sept

Santos

2 : 0

Atletico-MG

06 Sept

Internacional

2 : 3

Santos

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Dep. Cuenca

(Away)

13 Sept

LDU Quito

1 : 1

Dep. Cuenca

07 Sept

Dep. Cuenca

0 : 1

Libertad

02 Sept

Dep. Cuenca

1 : 0

Guayaquil City

29 Aug

Tecnico U.

3 : 1

Dep. Cuenca

22 Aug

Dep. Cuenca

0 : 0

Mushuc Runa

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