Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Santos vs Dep. Cuenca

South America South America

Copa Sudamericana Estadio Urbano Caldeira, Santos
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Gabriel Barbosa
Assist: Igor Vinicius
16'
Boolsen P.
26'
Gustavo Henrique

AI Match Summary

Santos in this Copa Sudamericana tie, finishing 3-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Santos
22%
Draws
18%
Dep. Cuenca
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Santos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Dep. Cuenca have won more games recently than Santos.
  • Santos are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Dep. Cuenca arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Santos, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Santos Clean Sheet 20%
Dep. Cuenca Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santos Dep. Cuenca
Matches Played 25 29
Wins 8 11
Draws 10 7
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.75 0.38
Goals Conceded 1 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 27, 2026 Copa Sudamericana
Santos vs Dep. Cuenca
3:0
Apr 8, 2026 Copa Sudamericana
Dep. Cuenca vs Santos
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santos Compare

Top Goalscorer Gabriel Barbosa
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gabriel Bontempo
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Dep. Cuenca Compare

Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santos 58 / 100
Dep. Cuenca 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santos Dep. Cuenca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Santos scored in 84% of their last 25 outings.

Defensive concern: Dep. Cuenca conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Santos has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Santos VS Dep. Cuenca
1.75 Goals Scored 0.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Santos

(Home)
16 Jul
Botafogo RJ
2 : 1
Santos
04 Jul
Santos
3 : 0
Uniao Sao Joao
30 May
Santos
3 : 1
Vitoria
27 May
Santos
3 : 0
Dep. Cuenca
23 May
Gremio
3 : 2
Santos
Page 1 of 5

Dep. Cuenca

(Away)
18 Jul
Dep. Cuenca
0 : 2
U. Catolica
15 Jul
Leones del Norte
1 : 1
Dep. Cuenca
12 Jul
Dep. Cuenca
0 : 1
Aucas
05 Jul
Barcelona SC
2 : 0
Dep. Cuenca
02 Jun
La Union
1 : 0
Dep. Cuenca
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Macara62406:310
2Tigre62318:59
3America De Cali62316:59
4Alianza Atl.60242:92
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Atletico-MG63128:610
2Cienciano62225:78
3Juventud614110:77
4Academia Puerto Cabello62136:97
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sao Paulo63306:112
2O Higgins63128:610
3Millonarios62227:78
4Boston River61055:123
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Recoleta61506:58
2Santos61418:67
3San Lorenzo61416:57
4Dep. Cuenca61323:76
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Botafogo RJ651015:516
2Caracas62319:99
3Racing Club622211:98
4Independiente60063:150
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Montevideo City641111:513
2Gremio63218:311
3Deportivo Riestra61234:105
4Palestino60331:63
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Olimpia Asuncion641110:613
2Vasco631210:610
3A. Italiano62137:97
4Barracas Central60332:83
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1River Plate64209:314
2Bragantino631212:510
3Carabobo63036:59
4Blooming60153:171
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs)