Sport Picks

Santos vs San Lorenzo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South America

Copa Sudamericana Estadio Urbano Caldeira, Santos

Santos

2 - 2

San Lorenzo

Our Tip

Match Events

Gabriel Bontempo

Assist: Gabriel Barbosa

14'

Verissimo L.

44'

Insaurralde M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-2. The second leg ended 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%

Santos

20%

Draws

23%

San Lorenzo

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Santos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence

San Lorenzo haven't matched Santos's recent run of results.
57% — that's where the model lands on Santos taking it.
Santos have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Santos, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 53%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 3%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%

Santos Clean Sheet 68%

San Lorenzo Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Santos	San Lorenzo
Matches Played	31	33
Wins	15	9
Draws	10	13
Losses	6	11
Goals Scored	1.68	0.88
Goals Conceded	1.23	0.94
Expected Goals (xG)	1.06	0.58
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2026 Copa Sudamericana

Santos vs San Lorenzo

2:2

Apr 28, 2026 Copa Sudamericana

San Lorenzo vs Santos

1:1

Apr 14, 2021 Copa Libertadores

Santos vs San Lorenzo

2:2

Apr 7, 2021 Copa Libertadores

San Lorenzo vs Santos

1:3

Oct 11, 2006 Copa Sudamericana

Santos vs San Lorenzo

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santos Compare

Top Goalscorer Gabriel Bontempo

1 Goals

Assists Leader Gabriel Barbosa

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.82

Avg xA / game 0.53

San Lorenzo Compare

Top Goalscorer De Ritis M.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Auzmendi R.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.53

Avg xA / game 0.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santos 77 / 100

San Lorenzo 15 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Santos San Lorenzo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santos Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santos found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (31 games).

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Santos has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Difficult form: San Lorenzo registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Santos VS San Lorenzo

1.13 Goals Scored 0.29

0.88 Goals Conceded 1

63% Over 1.5 43%

38% Over 2.5 14%

13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Santos

(Home)

08 Oct

Santos

2 : 2

Flamengo RJ

02 Oct

Sao Paulo

1 : 2

Santos

19 Sept

Remo

1 : 2

Santos

16 Sept

Atletico-MG

5 : 2

Santos

13 Sept

Santos

2 : 1

Cruzeiro

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San Lorenzo

(Away)

03 Oct

Defensa y Justicia

3 : 0

San Lorenzo

20 Sept

San Lorenzo

0 : 2

Boca Juniors

13 Sept

Independiente

1 : 1

San Lorenzo

05 Sept

San Lorenzo

1 : 0

Talleres Cordoba

01 Sept

Instituto

1 : 0

San Lorenzo

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