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Santos vs Uniao Sao Joao - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly Estádio do Pacaembu, Sao Paulo
Our Tip

Match Events

46' Event
Moises
82' Event
Ananias Bento J. P.
86' Event
Robinho Jr.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Santos and Uniao Sao Joao finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Santos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Santos
20%
Draws
32%
Uniao Sao Joao
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Santos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Santos carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Santos taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Santos have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Santos Clean Sheet 18%
Uniao Sao Joao Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santos Uniao Sao Joao
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 10
Draws 8 11
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 1.69 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Club Friendly
Santos vs Uniao Sao Joao
3:0
Mar 31, 2005 Paulista
Uniao Sao Joao vs Santos
2:2
Feb 14, 2004 Paulista
Santos vs Uniao Sao Joao
8:3
Oct 1, 1997 Serie A Betano
Santos vs Uniao Sao Joao
3:1
Sep 24, 1995 Serie A Betano
Santos vs Uniao Sao Joao
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santos Compare

Top Goalscorer Moises
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ananias Bento J. P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Uniao Sao Joao Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santos 41 / 100
Uniao Sao Joao 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santos Uniao Sao Joao

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.40 goals.

Santos scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Uniao Sao Joao conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: Santos remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Santos VS Uniao Sao Joao
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Santos

(Home)
02 Oct
Sao Paulo
1 : 2
Santos
19 Sept
Remo
1 : 2
Santos
16 Sept
Atletico-MG
5 : 2
Santos
13 Sept
Santos
2 : 1
Cruzeiro
09 Sept
Santos
2 : 0
Atletico-MG
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Uniao Sao Joao

(Away)
03 Oct
Uniao Sao Joao
2 : 1
Gremio Prudente
26 Sept
Gremio Prudente
0 : 0
Uniao Sao Joao
21 Sept
Juventus-SP
1 : 1
Uniao Sao Joao
12 Sept
Uniao Sao Joao
1 : 0
Juventus-SP
04 Sept
Bandeirante
3 : 1
Uniao Sao Joao
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