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Santos vs Uniao Sao Joao

World World

Club Friendly Estádio do Pacaembu
Our Tip

Match Events

46' Event
Moises
82' Event
Ananias Bento J. P.
86' Event
Robinho Jr.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Santos and Uniao Sao Joao finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Santos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Santos
6%
Draws
4%
Uniao Sao Joao
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Santos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Uniao Sao Joao carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Santos taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Santos have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Santos Clean Sheet 20%
Uniao Sao Joao Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santos Uniao Sao Joao
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 9 12
Draws 10 7
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.38 0
Goals Conceded 1 1
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Club Friendly
Santos vs Uniao Sao Joao
3:0
Mar 31, 2005 Paulista
Uniao Sao Joao vs Santos
2:2
Feb 14, 2004 Paulista
Santos vs Uniao Sao Joao
8:3
Oct 1, 1997 Serie A Betano
Santos vs Uniao Sao Joao
3:1
Sep 24, 1995 Serie A Betano
Santos vs Uniao Sao Joao
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santos Compare

Top Goalscorer Moises
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ananias Bento J. P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Uniao Sao Joao Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santos 85 / 100
Uniao Sao Joao 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santos Uniao Sao Joao

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santos scored in 85% of their last 27 games.

Games between these two average 5.40 goals.

Defensive concern: Uniao Sao Joao conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

Solid form: Santos remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Santos VS Uniao Sao Joao
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 33%
25% Over 2.5 33%
25% Over 3.5 0%