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Santos W vs Estudiantes de Caracas W

South America South America

Copa Libertadores Women 2011
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
29' Event
32' Event

AI Match Summary

Santos W in this Copa Libertadores Women 2011 tie, finishing 4-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Santos W
15%
Draws
28%
Estudiantes de Caracas W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Santos W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Santos W have won more games recently than Estudiantes de Caracas W.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Santos W taking it.
  • Santos W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Santos W, who have won 3 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Santos W have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Santos W Clean Sheet 68%
Estudiantes de Caracas W Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santos W Estudiantes de Caracas W
Matches Played 33 23
Wins 13 8
Draws 9 1
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.67 1.78
Goals Conceded 1.24 2.48
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 27, 2011 Copa Libertadores Women
Santos W vs Estudiantes de Caracas W
6:0
Nov 14, 2011 Copa Libertadores Women
Santos W vs Estudiantes de Caracas W
4:2
Oct 2, 2010 Copa Libertadores Women
Santos W vs Estudiantes de Caracas W
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santos W 95 / 100
Estudiantes de Caracas W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santos W Estudiantes de Caracas W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santos W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 5:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Estudiantes de Caracas W has conceded goals in 83% of their last 23 outings.

Games between these two average 4.67 goals.

Santos W found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (33 games).

Away concern: Estudiantes de Caracas W has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Santos W VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Santos W

(Home)
26 Aug
Santos W
1 : 0
Mirassol W
22 Aug
Vitoria W
1 : 2
Santos W
16 Aug
Santos W
2 : 3
CR Flamengo W
13 Aug
Sao Paulo W
1 : 0
Santos W
09 Aug
Corinthians W
4 : 1
Santos W
Page 1 of 7

Estudiantes de Caracas W

(Away)
11 Oct
Barcelona SC W
3 : 2
Estudiantes de Caracas W
08 Oct
Palmeiras W
6 : 0
Estudiantes de Caracas W
05 Oct
Estudiantes de Caracas W
0 : 3
Atl. Nacional W
19 Oct
Estudiantes de Caracas W
2 : 0
Mundo Futuro W
16 Oct
Estudiantes de Caracas W
1 : 4
Ferroviaria W
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colo Colo W 3 2 1 0 9:3 7
2 Universidad de Asuncion W 3 1 2 0 7:3 5
3 Duque de Caxias W 3 1 1 1 5:2 4
4 Sport Girls W 3 0 0 3 1:14 0
Promotion - Copa Libertadores Women 2011 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Estudiantes de Caracas W 3 2 0 1 13:4 6
2 Santos W 3 2 0 1 8:9 6
3 Club Nacional de Football W 3 1 1 1 8:6 4
4 Gerimex W 3 0 1 2 1:11 1
Promotion - Copa Libertadores Women 2011 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Jose W 3 2 1 0 7:4 7
2 Formas Intimas W 3 1 1 1 9:9 4
3 Boca Juniors W 3 1 0 2 6:6 3
4 Deportivo Quito W 3 1 0 2 5:8 3
Promotion - Copa Libertadores Women 2011 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams