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Santos W vs Sao Jose W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Copa Paulista Women Estadio Urbano Caldeira, Santos
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Carol Baiana
14' Event
Laryh
21' Event
Iasmyn

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 8-1. This leg finished 8-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Santos W
15%
Draws
51%
Sao Jose W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sao Jose W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Santos W have won more games recently than Sao Jose W.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Santos W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Santos W, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Santos W have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Santos W Clean Sheet 68%
Sao Jose W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santos W Sao Jose W
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 14 9
Draws 9 0
Losses 11 21
Goals Scored 1.68 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.18 2.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.21 1.98
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 22, 2025 Copa Paulista Women
Santos W vs Sao Jose W
8:1
Jun 8, 2025 Brasileiro A2 Women
Sao Jose W vs Santos W
0:4
Oct 31, 2024 Copa Paulista Women
Santos W vs Sao Jose W
4:0
Oct 26, 2024 Copa Paulista Women
Sao Jose W vs Santos W
0:1
Jun 29, 2024 Paulista Women
Santos W vs Sao Jose W
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santos W Compare

Top Goalscorer Carol Baiana
2 Goals
Assists Leader Laryh
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.93
Avg xA / game 0.6

Sao Jose W Compare

Top Goalscorer Iasmyn
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.8
Avg xA / game 1.1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santos W 41 / 100
Sao Jose W 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santos W Sao Jose W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santos W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Sao Jose W conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.80 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Santos W scored in 79% of their last 34 outings.

Recent resilience: Santos W stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Santos W VS Sao Jose W
0.75 Goals Scored 2.33
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.67
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

Santos W

(Home)
26 Aug
Santos W
1 : 0
Mirassol W
22 Aug
Vitoria W
1 : 2
Santos W
16 Aug
Santos W
2 : 3
CR Flamengo W
13 Aug
Sao Paulo W
1 : 0
Santos W
09 Aug
Corinthians W
4 : 1
Santos W
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Sao Jose W

(Away)
27 May
Sao Jose W
1 : 4
Bragantino W
13 May
Sao Jose W
2 : 1
Prosperidade W
02 May
Sao Jose W
4 : 0
Araguari W
29 Apr
Guarani de Paripueira W
3 : 4
Sao Jose W
26 Apr
Heips W
3 : 2
Sao Jose W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Santos W 8
Sao Jose W 1
Taubate W 3
Mauaense W 2
Realidade Jovem W 3
Pinda Ferroviaria W 0
Bragantino W 1
Centro Olimpico W 0
Semi-finals
Santos W 2
Taubate W 1
Realidade Jovem W 0
Bragantino W 3
Final
Santos W 2
Bragantino W 3