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Santurtzi vs San Viator

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Castillo Marcilla A.
33' Event
Grande I.
45' Event
Castillo Marcilla A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2024/2025 game between Santurtzi and San Viator finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Santurtzi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Santurtzi
15%
Draws
0%
San Viator
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Santurtzi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • San Viator haven't matched Santurtzi's recent run of results.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Santurtzi taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Santurtzi Clean Sheet 68%
San Viator Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santurtzi San Viator
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 10 1
Draws 10 4
Losses 13 25
Goals Scored 1.12 0.6
Goals Conceded 1.24 2.8
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Santurtzi vs San Viator
5:0
Oct 19, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
San Viator vs Santurtzi
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santurtzi Compare

Top Goalscorer Castillo Marcilla A.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Grande I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

San Viator Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santurtzi 95 / 100
San Viator 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santurtzi San Viator

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santurtzi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: San Viator conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

San Viator's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Santurtzi scored in 67% of their last 33 outings.

Scoring Trends

Santurtzi VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Santurtzi

(Home)
27 Sept
Santurtzi
0 : 1
Lagun Onak
20 Sept
Derio
2 : 0
Santurtzi
13 Sept
Santurtzi
2 : 1
SCD Durango
05 Sept
Beasain
2 : 0
Santurtzi
14 Aug
Eibar C
3 : 1
Santurtzi
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San Viator

(Away)
11 May
Padura
3 : 0
San Viator
03 May
San Viator
1 : 5
Portugalete
26 Apr
Eibar C
4 : 1
San Viator
17 Apr
San Viator
2 : 3
Touring KE
12 Apr
SD Deusto
2 : 1
San Viator
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Basconia 34 23 7 4 89:32 76
2 Portugalete 34 19 13 2 66:29 70
3 Leioa 34 20 6 8 55:34 66
4 Beasain 34 19 7 8 53:34 64
5 SD Deusto 34 15 9 10 43:35 54
6 Alaves C 34 14 6 14 41:41 48
7 Touring KE 34 13 9 12 39:45 48
8 Derio 34 12 11 11 39:39 47
9 Eibar C 34 12 10 12 46:51 46
10 UD Aretxabaleta 34 12 8 14 40:45 44
11 Lagun Onak 34 11 9 14 44:49 42
12 San Ignacio 34 11 9 14 32:41 42
13 SCD Durango 34 9 13 12 43:37 40
14 Pasaia 34 10 9 15 45:60 39
15 Santurtzi 34 8 14 12 46:43 38
16 Urduliz FT 34 9 9 16 37:56 36
17 Padura 34 7 8 19 31:48 29
18 San Viator 34 1 5 28 21:91 8
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2024/2025 (Play Offs)