Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 4 2018/2019

Santutxu FC

3 - 0

Bermeo

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 4 2018/2019 game between Santutxu FC and Bermeo finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Santutxu FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%

Santutxu FC

17%

Draws

13%

Bermeo

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Santutxu FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence

Bermeo haven't matched Santutxu FC's recent run of results.
Win probability leans Santutxu FC's way, sitting at 70%.
Regular Tercera Division - Group 4 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%

Santutxu FC Clean Sheet 68%

Bermeo Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Santutxu FC	Bermeo
Matches Played	31	30
Wins	6	2
Draws	11	9
Losses	14	19
Goals Scored	1.25	0
Goals Conceded	1.38	0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 24, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 4

Santutxu FC vs Bermeo

Possession: 40% - 52% Cards: 4 - 0

3:0

Oct 6, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 4

Bermeo vs Santutxu FC

Possession: 44% - 53% Cards: 2 - 0

0:0

Feb 25, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 4

Santutxu FC vs Bermeo

Possession: 47% - 47% Cards: 0 - 2

0:0

Oct 12, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 4

Bermeo vs Santutxu FC

Possession: 45% - 52% Cards: 2 - 2

2:1

Jan 14, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 4

Bermeo vs Santutxu FC

Possession: 57% - 41% Cards: 3 - 3

2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santutxu FC 77 / 100

Bermeo 14 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Santutxu FC Bermeo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Bermeo conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Santutxu FC's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Solid form: Santutxu FC remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Santutxu FC VS -

1.25 Goals Scored 0

1.38 Goals Conceded 0

75% Over 1.5 0%

50% Over 2.5 0%

38% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Portugalete	38	26	8	4	65:21	86
2	Sestao	38	22	12	4	74:36	78
3	Alaves B	38	18	12	8	69:44	66
4	San Ignacio	38	17	12	9	66:36	63
5	Balmaseda	38	17	12	9	50:36	63
6	Basconia	38	16	12	10	64:52	60
7	Real Sociedad C	38	16	11	11	71:48	59
8	Somorrostro	38	14	15	9	59:43	57
9	Sodupe	38	11	17	10	49:45	50
10	Pasaia	38	12	13	13	33:46	49
11	Santutxu FC	38	12	12	14	38:48	48
12	Lagun Onak	38	12	12	14	46:46	48
13	Beasain	38	9	19	10	46:40	46
14	Santurtzi	38	10	15	13	33:42	45
15	SD Deusto	38	10	13	15	41:55	43
16	Zamudio	38	10	9	19	42:66	39
17	Amurrio Club	38	8	10	20	30:64	34
18	Ordizia	38	5	16	17	40:72	31
19	SD San Pedro	38	6	11	21	40:69	29
20	Bermeo	38	2	13	23	24:71	19