Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Santutxu FC vs Leioa Prediction & H2H Stats

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2021/2022 game between Santutxu FC and Leioa finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Leioa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Santutxu FC
35%
Draws
30%
Leioa
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Leioa come out ahead of Santutxu FC on wins alone.
  • Model gives Santutxu FC a 35% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
Santutxu FC Clean Sheet 68%
Leioa Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santutxu FC Leioa
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 5 14
Draws 11 9
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1.1 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Santutxu FC vs Leioa
1:3
Dec 12, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Leioa vs Santutxu FC
2:3
May 3, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Leioa vs Santutxu FC
3:0
Dec 22, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Santutxu FC vs Leioa
0:1
Jan 27, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Santutxu FC vs Leioa
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santutxu FC 50 / 100
Leioa 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santutxu FC Leioa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santutxu FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santutxu FC scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Leioa has conceded goals in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Santutxu FC stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Leioa
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Santutxu FC

(Home)
29 Apr
Tolosa
3 : 4
Santutxu FC
23 Apr
Santutxu FC
1 : 3
Leioa
13 Apr
Urduliz FT
2 : 3
Santutxu FC
09 Apr
Santutxu FC
1 : 1
Anaitasuna FT
02 Apr
SCD Durango
1 : 0
Santutxu FC
Page 1 of 6

Leioa

(Away)
26 Sept
Leioa
2 : 1
Eibar C
20 Sept
Real Union B
3 : 3
Leioa
13 Sept
Leioa
1 : 1
Pasaia
09 Sept
Bergantinos
5 : 0
Leioa
05 Sept
Lagun Onak
1 : 1
Leioa
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alaves B 38 21 13 4 72:31 76
2 Beasain 38 19 13 6 65:36 70
3 Portugalete 38 19 13 6 60:33 70
4 Barakaldo 38 20 9 9 64:46 69
5 Basconia 38 18 11 9 45:32 65
6 CD Vitoria 38 16 11 11 55:49 59
7 San Ignacio 38 17 7 14 57:48 58
8 SCD Durango 38 13 18 7 42:29 57
9 Leioa 38 15 11 12 55:38 56
10 Anaitasuna FT 38 14 10 14 48:49 52
11 Lagun Onak 38 13 12 13 42:44 51
12 Pasaia 38 13 11 14 36:43 50
13 SD Deusto 38 11 16 11 42:40 49
14 Urduliz FT 38 12 9 17 39:57 45
15 Aurrera Ondarroa 38 10 8 20 36:55 38
16 Santutxu FC 38 8 14 16 42:60 38
17 Uritarra 38 10 8 20 38:52 38
18 Amurrio Club 38 8 13 17 39:45 37
19 Beti Gazte 38 6 8 24 34:80 26
20 Tolosa 38 7 5 26 43:87 26
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2021/2022 (Play Offs)