Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 14 2014/2015

Deportivo Pacense

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Risks Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Sanvicenteno play Deportivo Pacense in the Tercera Division - Group 14 2014/2015. It looks like a close match. Recently, Sanvicenteno averaged 1.03 goals scored and 2.1 conceded. Deportivo Pacense averaged 1.35 goals scored and 1.94 conceded. In past meetings, Sanvicenteno won 1, Deportivo Pacense won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 7, 2016 ended 4:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.13 for Sanvicenteno and 1.69 for Deportivo Pacense. This points to a Deportivo Pacense double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

Sanvicenteno

15%

Draws

43%

Deportivo Pacense

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Deportivo Pacense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence

Sanvicenteno picked up more points recently compared to Deportivo Pacense.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.13 vs 1.69 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 64%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 79%

Over 2.5 Goals 64%

Over 3.5 Goals 38%

Over 4.5 Goals 19%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%

Sanvicenteno Clean Sheet 13%

Deportivo Pacense Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 71%

Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Sanvicenteno	Deportivo Pacense
Matches Played	31	31
Wins	8	6
Draws	4	7
Losses	19	18
Goals Scored	1.03	1.35
Goals Conceded	2.1	1.94
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.25	3.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 14

Deportivo Pacense vs Sanvicenteno

Possession: 46% - 53% Cards: 2 - 1

4:1

Sep 13, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 14

Sanvicenteno vs Deportivo Pacense

Possession: 50% - 57% Cards: 3 - 3

2:1

Apr 12, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 14

Sanvicenteno vs Deportivo Pacense

Possession: 58% - 49% Cards: 3 - 1

1:2

Nov 23, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 14

Deportivo Pacense vs Sanvicenteno

Possession: 50% - 44% Cards: 2 - 3

1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sanvicenteno 40 / 100

Deportivo Pacense 41 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Sanvicenteno Deportivo Pacense

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Deportivo Pacense or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +23.5%

2.94

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +10.1%

1.72

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sanvicenteno attacking → ← attacking Deportivo Pacense

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sanvicenteno scored in 58% of their last 31 games.

Deportivo Pacense let in goals in 87% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Sanvicenteno went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Deportivo Pacense lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate

Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

28 Points in last 5 25

1.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.13

2.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.25

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	AD Merida	38	31	5	2	101:20	98
2	Extremadura UD	38	26	9	3	86:24	87
3	Jerez CF	38	25	6	7	70:18	81
4	CD Badajoz	38	23	8	7	71:31	77
5	CD Coria	38	20	6	12	55:40	66
6	Moralo	38	19	8	11	65:44	65
7	Don Benito	38	18	10	10	48:37	64
8	CD Azuaga	38	15	10	13	44:44	55
9	Pueblonuevo	38	13	13	12	50:42	52
10	Santa Amalia	38	15	6	17	44:50	51
11	Diter Zafra	38	12	14	12	51:48	50
12	Fuente de Cantos	38	12	6	20	39:61	42
13	Atletico San Jose Promesas	38	13	3	22	48:75	42
14	Olivenza FC	38	11	7	20	46:69	40
15	CP Valdivia	38	10	7	21	43:73	37
16	Sanvicenteno	38	9	7	22	34:61	34
17	Deportivo Pacense	38	9	6	23	46:93	33
18	Castuera	38	8	9	21	39:68	33
19	UP Plasencia	38	6	9	23	49:83	27
20	Hernan Cortes	38	6	9	23	35:83	27