Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sao Bento vs Primavera EC

Brazil Brazil

Copa Paulista 2025 Estádio Municipal Walter Ribeiro, Sorocaba
Our Tip

Match Events

74' Event
Marco Gabriel
Own Goal
90' Event
Deivid

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Sao Bento
20%
Draws
51%
Primavera EC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Primavera EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Primavera EC come out ahead of Sao Bento on wins alone.
  • Primavera EC are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Primavera EC arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 66%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Sao Bento Clean Sheet 11%
Primavera EC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Bento Primavera EC
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 4 13
Draws 8 6
Losses 18 12
Goals Scored 0.83 1.77
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2025 Copa Paulista
Sao Bento vs Primavera EC
1:1
Jul 12, 2025 Copa Paulista
Primavera EC vs Sao Bento
2:2
Jan 15, 2025 Paulista A2
Primavera EC vs Sao Bento
1:0
Aug 17, 2024 Copa Paulista
Sao Bento vs Primavera EC
1:1
Jul 13, 2024 Copa Paulista
Primavera EC vs Sao Bento
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sao Bento Compare

Top Goalscorer Deivid
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Primavera EC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Bento 10 / 100
Primavera EC 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Bento Primavera EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Primavera EC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Primavera EC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Sao Bento's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Sao Bento went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sao Bento VS Primavera EC
1 Goals Scored 1.75
1.86 Goals Conceded 1.13
57% Over 1.5 75%
57% Over 2.5 63%
43% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sao Bento

(Home)
07 Mar
Santo Andre
4 : 2
Sao Bento
28 Feb
Sao Bento
2 : 3
Taubate
25 Feb
Sao Bento
1 : 0
Linense
22 Feb
Juventus-SP
0 : 0
Sao Bento
18 Feb
Votuporanguense
3 : 1
Sao Bento
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Primavera EC

(Away)
19 Sept
Noroeste
1 : 0
Primavera EC
12 Sept
Primavera EC
2 : 2
Noroeste
05 Sept
Primavera EC
7 : 0
Sao Caetano
29 Aug
Sao Caetano
0 : 5
Primavera EC
22 Aug
Primavera EC
1 : 2
Paulista
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gremio Prudente 8 4 4 0 12:6 16
2 Monte Azul 8 4 2 2 8:7 14
3 Noroeste 8 3 2 3 7:7 11
4 AEA Aracatuba 8 2 2 4 8:9 8
5 Linense 8 1 2 5 5:11 5
Promotion - Copa Paulista 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uniao Sao Joao 10 5 4 1 15:10 19
2 Comercial 10 5 2 3 13:9 17
3 Internacional de Limeira 10 3 5 2 17:13 14
4 Francana 10 3 5 2 8:8 14
5 Botafogo SP B 10 2 3 5 8:12 9
6 Itapirense 10 2 1 7 11:20 7
Promotion - Copa Paulista 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Piracicaba 10 7 3 0 13:4 24
2 Primavera EC 10 5 4 1 15:9 19
3 Paulista 10 4 1 5 10:10 13
4 Sao Bento 10 2 5 3 12:14 11
5 Guarani B 10 2 2 6 10:16 8
6 Rio Branco SP 10 0 5 5 6:13 5
Promotion - Copa Paulista 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Jose EC 10 6 2 2 19:7 20
2 Portuguesa Santista 10 3 6 1 11:8 15
3 Osasco Sporting 10 4 2 4 8:10 14
4 Sao Caetano 10 4 1 5 8:11 13
5 Taubate 10 2 4 4 9:10 10
6 Santo Andre 10 1 5 4 4:13 8
Promotion - Copa Paulista 2025 (Play Offs)