Sport Picks
Sao Bernardo vs Ceara
Brazil
Serie B Estadio Primeiro de Maio, Sao Bernardo 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The Serie B game between Sao Bernardo and Ceara finished 3-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ceara.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Sao Bernardo's 1 goals per match outpaces what Ceara have produced (0.63).
- Win probability leans Sao Bernardo's way, sitting at 42%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Ceara here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sao Bernardo | Ceara |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 10 |
| Draws | 9 | 9 |
| Losses | 12 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 0.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.13 | 1.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sao Bernardo Compare
Ceara Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.33 goals per match.
Sao Bernardo's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
Ceara let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.
Sao Bernardo went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Sao Bernardo
(Home)Ceara
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Criciuma | 20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 23:12 | 40 |
| 2 | EC Juventude | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 22:12 | 35 |
| 3 | Operario-PR | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 28:25 | 35 |
| 4 | Fortaleza | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 23:19 | 34 |
| 5 | Vila Nova FC | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 27:24 | 34 |
| 6 | Novorizontino | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 32:19 | 33 |
| 7 | Atletico GO | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 23:20 | 31 |
| 8 | CRB | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 31:32 | 29 |
| 9 | Goias | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 21:26 | 29 |
| 10 | Sport Recife | 20 | 6 | 11 | 3 | 25:19 | 29 |
| 11 | Athletic Club | 20 | 6 | 10 | 4 | 19:18 | 28 |
| 12 | Sao Bernardo | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 28:23 | 27 |
| 13 | Nautico | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 24:24 | 25 |
| 14 | Cuiaba | 20 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 15:15 | 25 |
| 15 | Botafogo SP | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 24:21 | 24 |
| 16 | Ceara | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 20:25 | 22 |
| 17 | Londrina | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 27:31 | 20 |
| 18 | Avai | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 21:27 | 20 |
| 19 | America MG | 20 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 14:31 | 11 |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 20 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 15:39 | 9 |
