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Sao Bernardo vs Cianorte

Brazil Brazil

Copa Sul-Sudeste Estadio Primeiro de Maio, Sao Bernardo
Sao Bernardo Logo

Sao Bernardo

0 - 1
FT
Cianorte Logo

Cianorte

Our Tip

Match Events

30'
Sub
David Kaua In: Hiago Monteiro
Out: David Kaua
45'
Paulo Roberto
46'
Sub
Davi D. In: Fabricio Daniel
Out: Davi D.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. This leg finished 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Sao Bernardo
30%
Draws
39%
Cianorte
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cianorte

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cianorte lately — more wins on the board than Sao Bernardo.
  • Win probability leans Sao Bernardo's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Cianorte arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Cianorte, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Sao Bernardo here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 53%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Sao Bernardo Clean Sheet 68%
Cianorte Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Bernardo Cianorte
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 10
Draws 9 8
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.31 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 15, 2026 Copa Sul-Sudeste
Sao Bernardo vs Cianorte
0:1
Jun 19, 2022 Serie D
Cianorte vs Sao Bernardo
0:1
May 14, 2022 Serie D
Sao Bernardo vs Cianorte
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sao Bernardo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Cianorte Compare

Top Goalscorer Hiago Monteiro
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Bernardo 51 / 100
Cianorte 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Bernardo Cianorte

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sao Bernardo scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Cianorte let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Sao Bernardo went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sao Bernardo VS Cianorte
1 Goals Scored 1.14
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 43%
50% Over 2.5 29%
25% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Sao Bernardo

(Home)
19 Aug
Fortaleza
1 : 1
Sao Bernardo
14 Aug
Sao Bernardo
0 : 1
Botafogo SP
07 Aug
Operario-PR
1 : 3
Sao Bernardo
26 Jul
Sao Bernardo
3 : 4
Ceara
23 Jul
Athletic Club
2 : 1
Sao Bernardo
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Cianorte

(Away)
26 Jul
ASA
5 : 1
Cianorte
18 Jul
Cianorte
0 : 1
ASA
11 Jul
Piracicaba
0 : 0
Cianorte
04 Jul
Cianorte
4 : 0
Piracicaba
28 Jun
Cianorte
1 : 1
Sao Joseense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chapecoense-SC 6 4 1 1 8:5 13
2 Novorizontino 6 3 2 1 8:5 11
3 SER Caxias do Sul 6 3 2 1 6:3 11
4 Cianorte 6 2 2 2 9:10 8
5 Tombense 6 1 2 3 11:13 5
6 Sampaio Correa FE 6 1 2 3 7:9 5
Promotion - Copa Sul-Sudeste (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Avai 6 3 1 2 10:8 10
2 Volta Redonda 6 3 1 2 9:8 10
3 Operario-PR 6 2 3 1 5:4 9
4 America MG 6 2 2 2 11:11 8
5 EC Juventude 6 1 1 4 4:9 4
6 Sao Bernardo 6 0 3 3 6:9 3
Promotion - Copa Sul-Sudeste (Play Offs)