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Sao Bernardo vs CRB - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Serie B Estadio Primeiro de Maio, Sao Bernardo
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Match Events

31'
Sub
Helder Maciel In: Marcao
Out: Helder Maciel
51' Event
Thiaguinho
Assist: Dada Belmonte
59' Event
Jemerson
Assist: Dudu Miraima

AI Match Summary

The Serie B game between Sao Bernardo and CRB finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sao Bernardo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Sao Bernardo
15%
Draws
32%
CRB
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sao Bernardo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CRB come out ahead of Sao Bernardo on wins alone.
  • Model gives Sao Bernardo a 53% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Sao Bernardo Clean Sheet 68%
CRB Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Bernardo CRB
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 15
Draws 10 5
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.45 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 2, 2026 Serie B
Sao Bernardo vs CRB
3:1
Jun 7, 2026 Serie B
CRB vs Sao Bernardo
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sao Bernardo Compare

Top Goalscorer Jemerson
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lucas Lima
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

CRB Compare

Top Goalscorer Thiaguinho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Bernardo 68 / 100
CRB 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Bernardo CRB

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sao Bernardo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sao Bernardo's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

CRB has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Sao Bernardo went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sao Bernardo VS CRB
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sao Bernardo

(Home)
02 Oct
Sao Bernardo
3 : 1
CRB
25 Sept
Novorizontino
0 : 0
Sao Bernardo
19 Sept
Sao Bernardo
1 : 0
Atletico GO
14 Sept
America MG
0 : 2
Sao Bernardo
10 Sept
Sao Bernardo
1 : 2
Londrina
Page 1 of 6

CRB

(Away)
02 Oct
Sao Bernardo
3 : 1
CRB
27 Sept
CRB
3 : 0
Cuiaba
20 Sept
Ponte Preta
1 : 0
CRB
16 Sept
CRB
2 : 1
Sport Recife
09 Sept
Operario-PR
3 : 0
CRB
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 EC Juventude 32 17 8 7 37:19 59
2 Vila Nova FC 32 17 7 8 44:31 58
3 Novorizontino 32 16 9 7 54:27 57
4 Fortaleza 32 15 11 6 37:27 56
5 Criciuma 32 15 8 9 33:28 53
6 Atletico GO 32 14 10 8 40:30 52
7 CRB 32 15 6 11 49:45 51
8 Sport Recife 32 13 11 8 44:34 50
9 Operario-PR 32 13 9 10 44:43 48
10 Cuiaba 32 11 14 7 32:25 47
11 Goias 32 13 6 13 32:40 45
12 Sao Bernardo 32 12 9 11 44:34 45
13 Nautico 32 11 9 12 39:40 42
14 Ceara 32 11 9 12 35:39 42
15 Athletic Club 32 10 12 10 38:37 42
16 Botafogo SP 32 10 8 14 36:38 38
17 Avai 32 9 6 17 32:43 33
18 Londrina 32 7 7 18 40:47 28
19 America MG 32 4 5 23 21:53 17
20 Ponte Preta 32 3 4 25 17:68 13
Promotion - Serie A Betano 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)