Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sao Bernardo vs Cuiaba

Brazil Brazil

Serie B Estadio Primeiro de Maio
Sun, Jul 12, 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sao Bernardo host Cuiaba in the Serie B. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Recent numbers: Sao Bernardo at 1.25 goals for, 0.88 against; Cuiaba at 0.88 for, 0.63 against. Past meetings favor Sao Bernardo slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 12, 2025, ending 3-2. xG projections (0.94 - 0.88) back Sao Bernardo to edge this. API goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Sao Bernardo
44%
Draws
20%
Cuiaba
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Cuiaba haven't matched Sao Bernardo's recent run of results.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Sao Bernardo Clean Sheet 20%
Cuiaba Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Bernardo Cuiaba
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 7
Draws 8 11
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.25 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2025 Serie B
Sao Bernardo vs Cuiaba
3-2
Apr 12, 2025 Serie B
Cuiaba vs Sao Bernardo
0-0
Mar 12, 2025 Serie B
Sao Bernardo vs Cuiaba
2-1
Feb 12, 2025 Serie B
Cuiaba vs Sao Bernardo
2-1
Jan 12, 2025 Serie B
Sao Bernardo vs Cuiaba
1-1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Bernardo 36 / 100
Cuiaba 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Bernardo Cuiaba

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CUI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sao Bernardo scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Cuiaba conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Solid form: Sao Bernardo remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sao Bernardo VS Cuiaba
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Novorizontino1686227:1430
2Criciuma1686218:1130
3Vila Nova FC1584323:1728
4Fortaleza1684420:1628
5Sao Bernardo1574420:1225
6EC Juventude1574416:825
7Operario-PR1574419:1725
8Sport Recife1667318:1225
9Goias1673616:2124
10Cuiaba1658312:923
11Athletic Club1557316:1522
12Atletico GO1656518:1921
13Nautico1562721:1920
14CRB1654724:2919
15Londrina1653824:2418
16Ceara1645715:2017
17Botafogo SP1544714:1416
18Avai1534815:2113
19Ponte Preta16221210:318
20America MG16131210:276