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Sao Bernardo vs Londrina Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Serie B Estadio Primeiro de Maio, Sao Bernardo
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Match Events

10' Event
Caio
Assist: Joao Vitor
16'
Sub
Para In: Mario Sergio
Out: Para
43' Event
Foguinho
Assist: Mario Sergio

AI Match Summary

The Serie B game between Sao Bernardo and Londrina finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Londrina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Sao Bernardo
15%
Draws
32%
Londrina
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sao Bernardo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sao Bernardo come out ahead of Londrina on wins alone.
  • 53% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Sao Bernardo Clean Sheet 68%
Londrina Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Bernardo Londrina
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 11 6
Draws 11 6
Losses 8 16
Goals Scored 1.47 1.18
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 10, 2026 Serie B
Sao Bernardo vs Londrina
1:2
May 12, 2026 Serie B
Londrina vs Sao Bernardo
1:3
Oct 11, 2025 Serie C
Londrina vs Sao Bernardo
1:1
Sep 6, 2025 Serie C
Sao Bernardo vs Londrina
2:2
May 5, 2025 Serie C
Sao Bernardo vs Londrina
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sao Bernardo Compare

Top Goalscorer Foguinho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Londrina Compare

Top Goalscorer Caio
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tarik
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Bernardo 41 / 100
Londrina 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Bernardo Londrina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sao Bernardo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sao Bernardo scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Londrina's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Sao Bernardo has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sao Bernardo VS Londrina
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sao Bernardo

(Home)
02 Oct
Sao Bernardo
3 : 1
CRB
25 Sept
Novorizontino
0 : 0
Sao Bernardo
19 Sept
Sao Bernardo
1 : 0
Atletico GO
14 Sept
America MG
0 : 2
Sao Bernardo
10 Sept
Sao Bernardo
1 : 2
Londrina
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Londrina

(Away)
02 Oct
Londrina
0 : 2
Criciuma
25 Sept
Vila Nova FC
2 : 0
Londrina
20 Sept
Londrina
1 : 2
Fortaleza
15 Sept
Londrina
6 : 0
Ponte Preta
10 Sept
Sao Bernardo
1 : 2
Londrina
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vila Nova FC 31 17 6 8 44:31 57
2 EC Juventude 31 16 8 7 35:19 56
3 Novorizontino 31 15 9 7 52:27 54
4 Criciuma 31 15 8 8 33:27 53
5 Fortaleza 31 14 11 6 36:27 53
6 Atletico GO 31 14 10 7 39:27 52
7 CRB 31 14 6 11 46:44 48
8 Operario-PR 31 13 9 9 43:41 48
9 Sport Recife 31 12 11 8 42:33 47
10 Cuiaba 31 11 13 7 32:25 46
11 Sao Bernardo 31 12 9 10 43:32 45
12 Goias 31 12 6 13 30:39 42
13 Nautico 31 11 9 11 39:38 42
14 Athletic Club 31 10 12 9 37:35 42
15 Ceara 31 10 9 12 34:39 39
16 Botafogo SP 31 9 8 14 34:37 35
17 Avai 31 8 6 17 30:42 30
18 Londrina 31 7 7 17 39:45 28
19 America MG 31 4 5 22 21:52 17
20 Ponte Preta 31 3 4 24 17:66 13
Promotion - Serie A Betano 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)