Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sao Caetano U20 vs Taubate U20

Brazil Brazil

Paulista U20 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Maykon
33' Event
Guilherme S.
90' Event
Luan Vinicio

AI Match Summary

Sao Caetano U20 in this Paulista U20 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sao Caetano U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Sao Caetano U20
15%
Draws
51%
Taubate U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Taubate U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sao Caetano U20 lately — more wins on the board than Taubate U20.
  • Win probability leans Sao Caetano U20's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Sao Caetano U20 have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Sao Caetano U20 Clean Sheet 15%
Taubate U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Caetano U20 Taubate U20
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 10 8
Draws 4 2
Losses 18 20
Goals Scored 1.13 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.69 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2025 Paulista U20
Sao Caetano U20 vs Taubate U20
2:1
Jul 26, 2024 Paulista U20
Sao Caetano U20 vs Taubate U20
1:0
Jul 19, 2024 Paulista U20
Taubate U20 vs Sao Caetano U20
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sao Caetano U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Maykon
1 Goals
Assists Leader Luan Vinicio
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Taubate U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Guilherme S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Caetano U20 35 / 100
Taubate U20 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Caetano U20 Taubate U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Taubate U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Sao Caetano U20 scored in 63% of their last 32 outings.

Games between these two average 2.33 goals.

Away concern: Taubate U20 has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sao Caetano U20 VS Taubate U20
0.75 Goals Scored 1
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.33
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 67%
25% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Sao Caetano U20

(Home)
12 Sept
Ibrachina U20
4 : 0
Sao Caetano U20
08 Sept
Sao Caetano U20
1 : 2
Osasco Sporting U20
21 Aug
Santo Andre U20
0 : 0
Sao Caetano U20
14 Aug
Sao Caetano U20
3 : 0
Aguai U20
11 Aug
Piracicaba U20
2 : 1
Sao Caetano U20
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Taubate U20

(Away)
10 Jan
Taubate U20
0 : 5
Botafogo RJ U20
07 Jan
Taubate U20
1 : 2
Aguia De Maraba U20
04 Jan
Taubate U20
2 : 0
Estrela De Marco U20
12 Aug
Taubate U20
2 : 1
Sfera U20
06 Aug
Aguai U20
1 : 0
Taubate U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palmeiras U20 15 12 1 2 61:11 37
2 Bragantino U20 15 11 2 2 36:11 35
3 Sao Paulo U20 15 11 2 2 36:13 35
4 Guarani U20 15 11 1 3 28:13 34
5 EC Sao Bernardo U20 15 11 0 4 33:13 33
6 Novorizontino U20 15 10 3 2 36:16 33
7 Portuguesa U20 15 9 4 2 33:15 31
8 Ituano U20 15 9 3 3 37:12 30
9 Ibrachina U20 15 9 3 3 31:15 30
10 Ferroviaria U20 15 9 2 4 29:18 29
11 Santos U20 15 9 2 4 29:19 29
12 CA Juventus U20 15 9 2 4 15:10 29
13 Corinthians U20 15 9 2 4 29:25 29
14 Uniao Suzano U20 15 9 2 4 23:19 29
15 Ponte Preta U20 15 9 1 5 33:19 28
16 Santo Andre U20 15 8 1 6 26:26 25
17 Osasco Sporting U20 15 7 4 4 22:17 25
18 Capivariano U20 15 7 3 5 23:15 24
19 XV de Jau U20 15 7 1 7 26:23 22
20 Piracicaba U20 15 7 1 7 19:18 22
21 Gremio Prudente U20 15 6 4 5 21:15 22
22 Portuguesa Santista U20 15 6 4 5 19:21 22
23 Mirassol U20 15 6 3 6 21:13 21
24 Osasco Audax U20 15 6 3 6 27:25 21
25 Sao Caetano U20 15 6 3 6 20:23 21
26 Referencia U20 15 5 6 4 25:26 21
27 Botafogo SP U20 15 6 2 7 25:21 20
28 Internacional de Limeira U20 15 6 2 7 20:19 20
29 Desportivo U20 15 5 3 7 22:25 18
30 Maua FC U20 15 5 3 7 13:17 18
31 CA Bandeirante U20 15 5 3 7 18:25 18
32 Itapirense U20 15 5 3 7 18:26 18
33 Sertaozinho U20 15 5 2 8 14:17 17
34 Tanabi U20 15 4 4 7 19:24 16
35 Agua Santa U20 15 4 4 7 20:28 16
36 Velo Clube U20 15 4 4 7 16:26 16
37 Sao Bento U20 15 4 3 8 17:29 15
38 Aguai U20 15 4 3 8 12:25 15
39 Jabaquara U20 15 4 3 8 16:30 15
40 Sfera U20 15 4 2 9 15:23 14
41 Flamengo SP U20 15 4 2 9 15:32 14
42 AC Guaratingueta U20 15 3 2 10 12:35 11
43 Uniao Sao Joao U20 15 3 1 11 13:33 10
44 Comercial FC - Tiete U20 15 3 0 12 20:36 9
45 Taubate U20 15 2 2 11 10:33 8
46 Sao Jose EC U20 15 1 3 11 14:40 6
47 Aracatuba FC U20 15 1 3 11 14:48 6
48 Rio Claro U20 15 1 1 13 8:46 4
Promotion - Paulista U20 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 EC Sao Bernardo U20 15 11 0 4 33:13 33
2 Novorizontino U20 15 10 3 2 36:16 33
3 Ferroviaria U20 15 9 2 4 29:18 29
4 Santos U20 15 9 2 4 29:19 29
5 CA Juventus U20 15 9 2 4 15:10 29
6 Ponte Preta U20 15 9 1 5 33:19 28
7 Mirassol U20 15 6 3 6 21:13 21
8 Osasco Audax U20 15 6 3 6 27:25 21
9 Sao Caetano U20 15 6 3 6 20:23 21
10 Internacional de Limeira U20 15 6 2 7 20:19 20
11 Itapirense U20 15 5 3 7 18:26 18
12 Velo Clube U20 15 4 4 7 16:26 16
13 Aguai U20 15 4 3 8 12:25 15
14 Sfera U20 15 4 2 9 15:23 14
15 Taubate U20 15 2 2 11 10:33 8
16 Sao Jose EC U20 15 1 3 11 14:40 6
Promotion - Paulista U20 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palmeiras U20 15 12 1 2 61:11 37
2 Bragantino U20 15 11 2 2 36:11 35
3 Portuguesa U20 15 9 4 2 33:15 31
4 Ituano U20 15 9 3 3 37:12 30
5 Corinthians U20 15 9 2 4 29:25 29
6 Uniao Suzano U20 15 9 2 4 23:19 29
7 Santo Andre U20 15 8 1 6 26:26 25
8 Referencia U20 15 5 6 4 25:26 21
9 Botafogo SP U20 15 6 2 7 25:21 20
10 Sertaozinho U20 15 5 2 8 14:17 17
11 Agua Santa U20 15 4 4 7 20:28 16
12 Sao Bento U20 15 4 3 8 17:29 15
13 Jabaquara U20 15 4 3 8 16:30 15
14 Uniao Sao Joao U20 15 3 1 11 13:33 10
15 Aracatuba FC U20 15 1 3 11 14:48 6
16 Rio Claro U20 15 1 1 13 8:46 4
Promotion - Paulista U20 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Paulo U20 15 11 2 2 36:13 35
2 Guarani U20 15 11 1 3 28:13 34
3 Ibrachina U20 15 9 3 3 31:15 30
4 Osasco Sporting U20 15 7 4 4 22:17 25
5 Capivariano U20 15 7 3 5 23:15 24
6 XV de Jau U20 15 7 1 7 26:23 22
7 Piracicaba U20 15 7 1 7 19:18 22
8 Gremio Prudente U20 15 6 4 5 21:15 22
9 Portuguesa Santista U20 15 6 4 5 19:21 22
10 Desportivo U20 15 5 3 7 22:25 18
11 Maua FC U20 15 5 3 7 13:17 18
12 CA Bandeirante U20 15 5 3 7 18:25 18
13 Tanabi U20 15 4 4 7 19:24 16
14 Flamengo SP U20 15 4 2 9 15:32 14
15 AC Guaratingueta U20 15 3 2 10 12:35 11
16 Comercial FC - Tiete U20 15 3 0 12 20:36 9
Promotion - Paulista U20 2025 (Play Offs)