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Sao-Carlense vs Barretos EC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A4
Our Tip

Match Events

88' Event
Gilvan

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. The second leg ended 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Sao-Carlense
35%
Draws
30%
Barretos EC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sao-Carlense come out ahead of Barretos EC on wins alone.
  • 35% — that's where the model lands on Sao-Carlense taking it.
  • Sao-Carlense have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Barretos EC, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Sao-Carlense Clean Sheet 68%
Barretos EC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao-Carlense Barretos EC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 8
Draws 12 12
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.13 0.73
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Paulista A4
Sao-Carlense vs Barretos EC
1:0
Apr 10, 2026 Paulista A4
Barretos EC vs Sao-Carlense
1:1
Mar 4, 2026 Paulista A4
Sao-Carlense vs Barretos EC
0:1
Feb 12, 2025 Paulista A4
Barretos EC vs Sao-Carlense
2:2
Feb 28, 2024 Paulista A4
Sao-Carlense vs Barretos EC
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sao-Carlense Compare

Top Goalscorer Gilvan
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Barretos EC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao-Carlense 86 / 100
Barretos EC 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao-Carlense Barretos EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sao-Carlense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sao-Carlense found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Barretos EC let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Sao-Carlense has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sao-Carlense VS Barretos EC
1 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
38% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Sao-Carlense

(Home)
01 May
Inter de Bebedouro
1 : 1
Sao-Carlense
26 Apr
Sao-Carlense
1 : 3
Inter de Bebedouro
19 Apr
Sao-Carlense
1 : 0
Barretos EC
10 Apr
Barretos EC
1 : 1
Sao-Carlense
04 Apr
Lemense
1 : 1
Sao-Carlense
Page 1 of 6

Barretos EC

(Away)
19 Apr
Sao-Carlense
1 : 0
Barretos EC
10 Apr
Barretos EC
1 : 1
Sao-Carlense
04 Apr
Taquaritinga
2 : 0
Barretos EC
28 Mar
Barretos EC
1 : 0
Nacional SP
25 Mar
Penapolense
1 : 1
Barretos EC
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Inter de Bebedouro 4
Lemense 0
Sao-Carlense 2
Barretos EC 1
Sao Caetano 1
Jacarei FC 0
Penapolense 3
Taquaritinga 3
Semi-finals
Inter de Bebedouro 4
Sao-Carlense 2
Sao Caetano 3
Penapolense 4
Final
Inter de Bebedouro 2
Penapolense 3