Sport Picks

Brazil

Paulista U20 2024

Ferroviaria U20

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Risks Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Sao Carlos U20 play Ferroviaria U20 in the Paulista U20 2024. Ferroviaria U20 are favorites here. Recently, Sao Carlos U20 averaged 1.11 goals scored and 2 conceded. Ferroviaria U20 averaged 2.03 goals scored and 0.97 conceded. In past meetings, Sao Carlos U20 won 0, Ferroviaria U20 won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 31, 2024 ended 7:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.04 for Sao Carlos U20 and 1.49 for Ferroviaria U20. This points to a Ferroviaria U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%

Sao Carlos U20

15%

Draws

58%

Ferroviaria U20

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ferroviaria U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

84% / High Confidence

Sao Carlos U20 picked up more points recently compared to Ferroviaria U20.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.04 vs 1.49 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 61%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 61%

Over 3.5 Goals 37%

Over 4.5 Goals 18%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%

Sao Carlos U20 Clean Sheet 16%

Ferroviaria U20 Clean Sheet 14%

First Half Goal 74%

Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Sao Carlos U20	Ferroviaria U20
Matches Played	27	32
Wins	9	19
Draws	5	7
Losses	13	6
Goals Scored	1.11	2.03
Goals Conceded	2	0.97

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2024 Paulista U20

Ferroviaria U20 vs Sao Carlos U20

Possession: 46% - 40% Cards: 0 - 2

7:0

Apr 26, 2024 Paulista U20

Sao Carlos U20 vs Ferroviaria U20

Possession: 55% - 58% Cards: 1 - 2

0:7

Jan 12, 2018 Copinha

Sao Carlos U20 vs Ferroviaria U20

Possession: 54% - 47% Cards: 2 - 1

2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sao Carlos U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Ferroviaria U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Erick Monteiro

2 Goals

Assists Leader Joao Victor

2 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.71

Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Carlos U20 28 / 100

Ferroviaria U20 55 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Sao Carlos U20 Ferroviaria U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ferroviaria U20 Win (2)

Secondary Pick Ferroviaria U20 & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +42%

5.26

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11%

1.82

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sao Carlos U20 attacking → ← attacking Ferroviaria U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sao Carlos U20 scored in 63% of their last 27 games.

Ferroviaria U20 let in goals in 53% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 6.33 goals.

Sao Carlos U20 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Ferroviaria U20 lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low

Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

32 Points in last 5 64

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.88

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Mirassol U20	10	9	1	0	33:5	28
2	Jose Bonifacio EC U20	10	8	1	1	24:7	25
3	Olimpia FC U20	10	4	1	5	9:18	13
4	Tanabi U20	10	4	0	6	12:17	12
5	Rio Preto EC U20	10	2	0	8	9:23	6
6	Fernandopolis U20	10	1	1	8	5:22	4

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Novorizontino U20	10	9	1	0	37:5	28
2	Gremio Prudente U20	10	7	1	2	17:9	22
3	Marilia AC U20	10	5	1	4	19:13	16
4	Presidente Prudente U20	10	4	1	5	15:21	13
5	Vocem U20	10	1	2	7	10:23	5
6	Tupa U20	10	0	2	8	8:35	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Botafogo SP U20	10	7	2	1	43:8	23
2	Sertaozinho U20	10	6	1	3	17:17	19
3	Comercial U20	10	3	5	2	26:20	14
4	Bandeirante U20	10	3	2	5	13:21	11
5	Francana U20	10	3	1	6	20:28	10
6	Inter de Bebedouro U20	10	2	1	7	14:39	7

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Velo Clube U20	10	8	1	1	22:5	25
2	Ferroviaria U20	10	6	2	2	34:5	20
3	XV de Jau U20	10	5	3	2	27:6	18
4	Rio Claro U20	10	4	2	4	15:14	14
5	Sao Carlos U20	10	1	2	7	7:29	5
6	CA Taquaritinga U20	10	1	0	9	2:48	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Uniao Sao Joao U20	10	5	4	1	14:6	19
2	Internacional de Limeira U20	10	4	5	1	18:16	17
3	Piracicaba U20	10	5	1	4	18:12	16
4	Cosmopolitano Sports U20	10	4	3	3	10:8	15
5	Rio Branco EC U20	10	3	1	6	13:16	10
6	Independente SP U20	10	1	2	7	9:24	5

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ponte Preta U20	10	7	1	2	20:8	22
2	Aguai U20	10	5	2	3	11:6	17
3	Brasilis U20	10	5	1	4	15:20	16
4	Itapirense U20	10	4	0	6	13:21	12
5	Porto Football U20	10	3	3	4	15:11	12
6	Guacuano U20	10	2	1	7	11:19	7

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ituano U20	10	7	1	2	25:13	22
2	Desportivo U20	10	7	0	3	25:10	21
3	Sao Bento U20	10	6	1	3	15:11	19
4	Sfera U20	10	5	2	3	25:14	17
5	Comercial FC - Tiete U20	10	3	0	7	11:19	9
6	Elosport U20	10	0	0	10	4:38	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Uniao Suzano U20	10	7	2	1	16:6	23
2	Taubate U20	10	5	3	2	22:15	18
3	Pinda U20	10	4	2	4	24:12	14
4	Sao Jose EC U20	10	3	5	2	16:11	14
5	CA Joseense U20	10	3	3	4	21:21	12
6	Uniao Mogi U20	10	0	1	9	4:38	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Bragantino U20	10	7	1	2	23:8	22
2	Guarani U20	10	6	3	1	22:8	21
3	SKA Brasil U20	10	4	4	2	14:11	16
4	Capivariano U20	10	4	2	4	18:20	14
5	Paulinia FU U20	10	1	3	6	12:27	6
6	Metropolitano FC U20	10	1	1	8	6:21	4

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sao Paulo U20	10	10	0	0	38:4	30
2	Referencia U20	10	5	2	3	18:19	17
3	Osasco Sporting U20	10	5	1	4	18:10	16
4	Osasco Audax U20	10	2	2	6	9:19	8
5	GE Osasco U20	10	2	2	6	21:33	8
6	Clube Vital U20	10	2	1	7	10:29	7

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Palmeiras U20	10	9	1	0	44:2	28
2	Ibrachina U20	10	7	1	2	24:11	22
3	Portuguesa U20	10	4	2	4	13:17	14
4	Flamengo SP U20	10	3	1	6	8:21	10
5	Nacional SP U20	10	2	4	4	11:13	10
6	Guarulhos U20	10	0	1	9	5:41	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Corinthians U20	10	7	2	1	18:4	23
2	Sao Caetano U20	10	7	2	1	12:4	23
3	Agua Santa U20	10	3	2	5	11:15	11
4	Aster Itaqua U20	10	3	2	5	5:11	11
5	EC Sao Bernardo U20	10	2	3	5	7:10	9
6	CA Juventus U20	10	1	3	6	6:15	6

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Santos U20	10	8	1	1	38:4	25
2	Santo Andre U20	10	7	1	2	18:16	22
3	Portuguesa Santista U20	10	5	2	3	19:20	17
4	Maua FC U20	10	5	0	5	15:15	15
5	Jabaquara U20	10	1	3	6	9:18	6
6	Mauaense U20	10	0	1	9	9:35	1