Sport Picks
Sao Carlos vs Mogi Mirim - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Brazil
Paulista B 
Match Events
35'
35'
Cordeiro A. R.
85'
85'
Kleber
AI Match Summary
The Paulista B game between Sao Carlos and Mogi Mirim finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sao Carlos.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
20%
51%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mogi Mirim
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
29%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Sao Carlos come out ahead of Mogi Mirim on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Sao Carlos's way, sitting at 60%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Sao Carlos Clean Sheet 16%
Mogi Mirim Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sao Carlos | Mogi Mirim |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 34 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 6 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 14 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1.32 | 0.73 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.12 | 1.33 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 23, 2026 Paulista B
Mogi Mirim vs Sao Carlos
3:1
Apr 18, 2026 Paulista B
Sao Carlos vs Mogi Mirim
2:0
May 28, 2023 Paulista A4
Mogi Mirim vs Sao Carlos
0:0
Apr 22, 2023 Paulista A4
Sao Carlos vs Mogi Mirim
1:0
Sep 12, 2021 Paulista A4
Mogi Mirim vs Sao Carlos
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sao Carlos Compare
Top Goalscorer Cordeiro A. R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Kleber
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91
Mogi Mirim Compare
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sao Carlos 57 / 100
Mogi Mirim 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sao Carlos Mogi Mirim
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sao Carlos Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Sao Carlos scored in 65% of their last 34 outings.
Mogi Mirim has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.
Games between these two average 1.60 goals.
Sao Carlos went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Sao Carlos VS Mogi Mirim
2 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Sao Carlos
(Home) 05 Jul
Paulinense
2 : 0 Sao Carlos
27 Jun
Sao Carlos
0 : 1 Paulinense
20 Jun
Santacruzense
1 : 1 Sao Carlos
13 Jun
Sao Carlos
2 : 0 Independente SP
07 Jun
Matonense
1 : 1 Sao Carlos
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27 Jun
Sao Carlos
0 : 1 Paulinense
13 Jun
Sao Carlos
2 : 0 Independente SP
30 May
Sao Carlos
8 : 0 Catanduvense
16 May
Sao Carlos
1 : 1 Santacruzense
02 May
Sao Carlos
0 : 2 Matonense
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Mogi Mirim
(Away) 20 Jun
Matonense
2 : 1 Mogi Mirim
13 Jun
Mogi Mirim
1 : 0 Santacruzense
07 Jun
Catanduvense
0 : 6 Mogi Mirim
30 May
Independente SP
4 : 1 Mogi Mirim
23 May
Mogi Mirim
3 : 1 Sao Carlos
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20 Jun
Matonense
2 : 1 Mogi Mirim
07 Jun
Catanduvense
0 : 6 Mogi Mirim
30 May
Independente SP
4 : 1 Mogi Mirim
10 May
Santacruzense
1 : 0 Mogi Mirim
18 Apr
Sao Carlos
2 : 0 Mogi Mirim
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jose Bonifacio EC | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 17:6 | 22 |
| 2 | America SP | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 13:7 | 19 |
| 3 | Assisense | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 17:15 | 14 |
| 4 | Tupa | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 5 | Riopretano | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 9:16 | 7 |
| 6 | Santa Fe SP | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 10:20 | 6 |
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independente SP | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 37:7 | 24 |
| 2 | Matonense | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 28:10 | 22 |
| 3 | Sao Carlos | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 19:11 | 15 |
| 4 | Santacruzense | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 19:13 | 14 |
| 5 | Mogi Mirim | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 15:15 | 12 |
| 6 | Catanduvense | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4:66 | 0 |
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo SP | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 13:6 | 23 |
| 2 | Paulinense | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 9:16 | 15 |
| 3 | Audax-SP | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 15:9 | 13 |
| 4 | Paulinia FU | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 11:14 | 10 |
| 5 | Votoraty SP | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 12:19 | 7 |
| 6 | Guarulhos | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 19:15 | 4 |
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Itaqua | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 21:6 | 25 |
| 2 | Maua FC | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 20:15 | 16 |
| 3 | Uniao Mogi | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14:13 | 14 |
| 4 | Manthiqueira | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17:17 | 14 |
| 5 | Mauaense | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 6 | Barcelona SP | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5:26 | 0 |
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)
