Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Paulista A4 2022 game between Sao Carlos and XV de Jau finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
50%
28%
22%
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Sao Carlos
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
76%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and XV de Jau come out ahead of Sao Carlos on wins alone.
- Model gives Sao Carlos a 50% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Sao Carlos Clean Sheet 20%
XV de Jau Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sao Carlos | XV de Jau |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 31 |
| Wins | 10 | 14 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 14 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 2 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.25 | 0.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 17, 2023 Paulista A4
Sao Carlos vs XV de Jau
0:3
May 14, 2023 Paulista A4
XV de Jau vs Sao Carlos
3:0
Jun 19, 2022 Paulista A4
Sao Carlos vs XV de Jau
1:1
May 13, 2022 Paulista A4
XV de Jau vs Sao Carlos
5:0
Mar 16, 2011 Paulista A3
XV de Jau vs Sao Carlos
2:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sao Carlos 49 / 100
XV de Jau 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sao Carlos XV de Jau
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick CAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.
Attacking prowess: Sao Carlos scored in 66% of their last 32 outings.
Solid form: Sao Carlos remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Defensive concern: XV de Jau conceded in 55% of 31 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Sao Carlos VS XV de Jau
2 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Sao Carlos
(Home) 05 Jul
Paulinense
2 : 0 Sao Carlos
27 Jun
Sao Carlos
0 : 1 Paulinense
20 Jun
Santacruzense
1 : 1 Sao Carlos
13 Jun
Sao Carlos
2 : 0 Independente SP
07 Jun
Matonense
1 : 1 Sao Carlos
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27 Jun
Sao Carlos
0 : 1 Paulinense
13 Jun
Sao Carlos
2 : 0 Independente SP
30 May
Sao Carlos
8 : 0 Catanduvense
16 May
Sao Carlos
1 : 1 Santacruzense
02 May
Sao Carlos
0 : 2 Matonense
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XV de Jau
(Away) 18 Apr
Marilia
3 : 2 XV de Jau
12 Apr
XV de Jau
0 : 0 Marilia
05 Apr
XV de Jau
2 : 0 Rio Claro
28 Mar
Rio Claro
0 : 1 XV de Jau
21 Mar
Desportivo
1 : 2 XV de Jau
Page 1 of 7
18 Apr
Marilia
3 : 2 XV de Jau
28 Mar
Rio Claro
0 : 1 XV de Jau
21 Mar
Desportivo
1 : 2 XV de Jau
11 Mar
Rio Claro
0 : 1 XV de Jau
07 Mar
Rio Preto EC
1 : 0 XV de Jau
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penapolense | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 23:6 | 21 |
| 2 | Inter de Bebedouro | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 18:6 | 21 |
| 3 | Catanduva FC | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 25:11 | 20 |
| 4 | Fernandopolis | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11:22 | 8 |
| 5 | America SP | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 14:24 | 8 |
| 6 | Andradina Esporte Clube | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 12:34 | 6 |
Promotion - Paulista A4 2022 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gremio Prudente | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 17:4 | 24 |
| 2 | AA Itarare | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 13:8 | 15 |
| 3 | Osvaldo Cruz | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 12:10 | 14 |
| 4 | Vocem | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 8:12 | 13 |
| 5 | Assisense | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 9:10 | 11 |
| 6 | Santacruzense | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4:19 | 1 |
Promotion - Paulista A4 2022 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Taquaritinga | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 17:8 | 21 |
| 2 | Sao-Carlense | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17:5 | 20 |
| 3 | XV de Jau | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16:7 | 18 |
| 4 | Francana | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 8:8 | 13 |
| 5 | Sao Carlos | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 6:14 | 10 |
| 6 | Batatais | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7:29 | 1 |
Promotion - Paulista A4 2022 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Itapirense | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 20:10 | 23 |
| 2 | Rio Branco SP | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15:10 | 19 |
| 3 | Paulista | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 15:8 | 18 |
| 4 | Amparo SP | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15:12 | 12 |
| 5 | Independente SP | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 8:9 | 11 |
| 6 | Uniao Sao Joao | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3:27 | 1 |
Promotion - Paulista A4 2022 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 5)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manthiqueira | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 26:12 | 20 |
| 2 | Jacarei FC | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 25:6 | 19 |
| 3 | Flamengo SP | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 18:11 | 19 |
| 4 | Uniao Mogi | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 25:12 | 14 |
| 5 | Guarulhos | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11:18 | 10 |
| 6 | Atletico Mogi | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5:51 | 1 |
Promotion - Paulista A4 2022 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 6)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maua FC | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12:9 | 18 |
| 2 | SKA Brasil | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 19:8 | 17 |
| 3 | Colorado Caieiras | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 16:10 | 17 |
| 4 | Jabaquara | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 10:10 | 15 |
| 5 | Mauaense | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11:16 | 10 |
| 6 | ECUS SP | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 12:27 | 4 |
Promotion - Paulista A4 2022 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams