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Sao Cristovao vs Goncalense

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B1
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Carioca B1 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Sao Cristovao
35%
Draws
40%
Goncalense
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Goncalense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Goncalense have won more games recently than Sao Cristovao.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Sao Cristovao Clean Sheet 20%
Goncalense Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Cristovao Goncalense
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 8 9
Draws 8 10
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 0.78 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.89 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Carioca B1
Sao Cristovao vs Goncalense
0:0
Oct 18, 2025 Carioca B1
Goncalense vs Sao Cristovao
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Cristovao 32 / 100
Goncalense 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Cristovao Goncalense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Goncalense let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Sao Cristovao went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Sao Cristovao scored in 52% of their last 27 games.

Historical meetings average 0.50 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Sao Cristovao VS Goncalense
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sao Cristovao

(Home)
25 Sept
AA Carapebus
0 : 1
Sao Cristovao
19 Sept
Sao Cristovao
0 : 1
Duque de Caxias
12 Sept
Nova Cidade
2 : 2
Sao Cristovao
05 Sept
Sao Cristovao
0 : 0
Goncalense
08 Jul
CEAC/Araruama
2 : 1
Sao Cristovao
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Goncalense

(Away)
26 Sept
Goncalense
3 : 2
Audax RJ
19 Sept
Goytacaz
0 : 2
Goncalense
12 Sept
Goncalense
1 : 1
Niteroiense
05 Sept
Sao Cristovao
0 : 0
Goncalense
08 Nov
Goncalense
0 : 1
Campo Grande
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Niteroiense 4 3 1 0 6:1 10
2 Duque de Caxias 4 3 0 1 8:3 9
3 Goncalense 4 2 2 0 6:3 8
4 Artsul 4 2 2 0 5:2 8
5 Campo Grande 4 2 1 1 6:5 7
6 Goytacaz 4 2 1 1 3:3 7
7 Sao Cristovao 4 1 2 1 3:3 5
8 Serrano FC 4 1 2 1 2:3 5
9 Macae 4 1 1 2 3:3 4
10 Nova Cidade 4 0 1 3 3:8 1
11 AA Carapebus 4 0 1 3 1:6 1
12 Audax RJ 4 0 0 4 2:8 0
Promotion - Carioca B1 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca B2 2027 (Main)