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Sao Domingos AL vs Guarany Alagoano

Brazil Brazil

Alagoano 2 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Lessa D.
(Penalty)
44' Event
Joao Victor
(Penalty)
59' Event
Joanderson

AI Match Summary

The Alagoano 2 2024 game between Sao Domingos AL and Guarany Alagoano finished 1-6, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Guarany Alagoano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Sao Domingos AL
6%
Draws
90%
Guarany Alagoano
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Guarany Alagoano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Guarany Alagoano carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Guarany Alagoano's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 32.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Sao Domingos AL Clean Sheet 10%
Guarany Alagoano Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Domingos AL Guarany Alagoano
Matches Played 14 28
Wins 0 15
Draws 2 7
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 0.4 1.63
Goals Conceded 3.2 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.40 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.20 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 17, 2024 Alagoano 2
Sao Domingos AL vs Guarany Alagoano
1:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sao Domingos AL Compare

Avg xG / game 0.31
Avg xA / game 0.2

Guarany Alagoano Compare

Top Goalscorer Joanderson
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kaio
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Domingos AL 10 / 100
Guarany Alagoano 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Domingos AL Guarany Alagoano

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 7.00 goals when they meet.

Sao Domingos AL found the back of the net in 21% of recent matches (14 games).

Guarany Alagoano's defensive record shows goals conceded in 54% of 28 matches.

Solid form: Sao Domingos AL remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sao Domingos AL VS Guarany Alagoano
0.4 Goals Scored 1.63
3.2 Goals Conceded 1
80% Over 1.5 75%
80% Over 2.5 63%
40% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Zumbi981017:325
2Guarany Alagoano962116:820
3Igaci961219:319
4Centro Esportivo Olhodaguense952213:517
5Dimensao Capela941413:813
6Alianca93157:710
7Miguelense92345:89
8FF Sport91445:117
9Jacioba92077:176
10Sao Domingos AL90182:341