Sport Picks
Match Events
7'
7'
Peu
28'
28'
Peu
(Penalty)
31'
31'
Gomes L.
AI Match Summary
The Paraense 2025 game between Sao Francisco and Aguia De Maraba finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aguia De Maraba.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
20%
20%
60%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aguia De Maraba
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Sao Francisco haven't matched Aguia De Maraba's recent run of results.
- Model gives Sao Francisco a 42% chance of winning this.
- Regular Paraense 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 31%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Sao Francisco Clean Sheet 14%
Aguia De Maraba Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sao Francisco | Aguia De Maraba |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 43 |
| Wins | 10 | 21 |
| Draws | 5 | 9 |
| Losses | 16 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 1.44 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.39 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.17 | 1.61 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 10, 2025 Paraense
Sao Francisco vs Aguia De Maraba
2:3
Apr 5, 2024 Copa Grao Para
Aguia De Maraba vs Sao Francisco
0:1
Feb 8, 2024 Paraense
Sao Francisco vs Aguia De Maraba
0:1
Feb 21, 2016 Paraense
Aguia De Maraba vs Sao Francisco
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sao Francisco Compare
Top Goalscorer Peu
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58
Aguia De Maraba Compare
Top Goalscorer Gomes L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Matheus Baraka
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.46
Avg xA / game 0.89
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sao Francisco 41 / 100
Aguia De Maraba 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sao Francisco Aguia De Maraba
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Sao Francisco scored in 61% of their last 31 outings.
Aguia De Maraba has conceded goals in 67% of their last 43 outings.
H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.
Aguia De Maraba's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
- VS Aguia De Maraba
0 Goals Scored 2.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Sao Francisco
(Home) 15 Feb
Sao Raimundo PA
0 : 0 Sao Francisco
11 Feb
Tuna Luso
1 : 0 Sao Francisco
08 Feb
Sao Francisco
1 : 2 Cameta
04 Feb
Santa Rosa
1 : 0 Sao Francisco
31 Jan
Sao Francisco
0 : 0 Remo
Page 1 of 7
08 Feb
Sao Francisco
1 : 2 Cameta
31 Jan
Sao Francisco
0 : 0 Remo
27 Jan
Sao Francisco
3 : 1 Capitao Poco
24 Feb
Sao Francisco
2 : 1 Tuna Luso
10 Feb
Sao Francisco
2 : 3 Aguia De Maraba
Page 1 of 3
Aguia De Maraba
(Away) 12 Jul
ABC
3 : 0 Aguia De Maraba
04 Jul
Aguia De Maraba
2 : 1 ABC
27 Jun
Aguia De Maraba
2 : 0 Parnahyba
21 Jun
Parnahyba
2 : 1 Aguia De Maraba
06 Jun
Trem
2 : 0 Aguia De Maraba
Page 1 of 9
12 Jul
ABC
3 : 0 Aguia De Maraba
21 Jun
Parnahyba
2 : 1 Aguia De Maraba
06 Jun
Trem
2 : 0 Aguia De Maraba
23 May
Imperatriz
0 : 3 Aguia De Maraba
17 May
Tuna Luso
2 : 1 Aguia De Maraba
Page 1 of 5
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Remo | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17:4 | 17 |
| 2 | Paysandu PA | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15:7 | 17 |
| 3 | Bragantino PA | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 11:6 | 17 |
| 4 | Castanhal | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:7 | 13 |
| 5 | Tuna Luso | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:12 | 11 |
| 6 | Aguia De Maraba | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | 11 |
| 7 | Capitao Poco | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 9:9 | 11 |
| 8 | Santa Rosa | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7:9 | 10 |
| 9 | Cameta | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6:11 | 10 |
| 10 | Sao Francisco | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9:16 | 6 |
| 11 | Independente | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5:12 | 6 |
| 12 | Caete | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5:12 | 3 |
Promotion - Paraense 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paraense A2 (Main)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paysandu PA | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15:7 | 17 |
| 2 | Cameta | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6:11 | 10 |
| 3 | Sao Francisco | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9:16 | 6 |
| 4 | Caete | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5:12 | 3 |
Promotion - Paraense 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paraense A2 (Main)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Remo | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17:4 | 17 |
| 2 | Bragantino PA | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 11:6 | 17 |
| 3 | Castanhal | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:7 | 13 |
| 4 | Independente | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5:12 | 6 |
Promotion - Paraense 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paraense A2 (Main)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tuna Luso | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:12 | 11 |
| 2 | Aguia De Maraba | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | 11 |
| 3 | Capitao Poco | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 9:9 | 11 |
| 4 | Santa Rosa | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7:9 | 10 |
Promotion - Paraense 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paraense A2 (Main)
