Sport Picks
Sao Francisco vs Castanhal - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Brazil
Paraense 2025 
Match Events
3'
3'
Rangel P.
82'
82'
Everson Bilal
AI Match Summary
The Paraense 2025 game between Sao Francisco and Castanhal finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Castanhal.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
20%
20%
60%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Castanhal
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Castanhal come out ahead of Sao Francisco on wins alone.
- Model gives Sao Francisco a 20% chance of winning this.
- Regular Paraense 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Castanhal have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 41.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Sao Francisco Clean Sheet 68%
Castanhal Clean Sheet 18%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sao Francisco | Castanhal |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 10 |
| Draws | 5 | 8 |
| Losses | 16 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.43 | 1.2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.83 | 0.92 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 25, 2025 Paraense
Sao Francisco vs Castanhal
0:2
Feb 24, 2024 Paraense
Castanhal vs Sao Francisco
0:0
Feb 15, 2023 Paraense
Castanhal vs Sao Francisco
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sao Francisco Compare
Avg xG / game 0.64
Avg xA / game 0.41
Castanhal Compare
Top Goalscorer Rangel P.
1 Goals Assists Leader Everson Bilal
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.84
Avg xA / game 0.51
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sao Francisco 50 / 100
Castanhal 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sao Francisco Castanhal
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sao Francisco Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sao Francisco scored in 60% of their last 30 games.
Defensive concern: Castanhal conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.
Difficult form: Castanhal registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Games between these two average 1.00 goals.
Scoring Trends
Sao Francisco VS Castanhal
0.67 Goals Scored 1
0.83 Goals Conceded 1
33% Over 1.5 50%
33% Over 2.5 38%
17% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Sao Francisco
(Home) 15 Feb
Sao Raimundo PA
0 : 0 Sao Francisco
11 Feb
Tuna Luso
1 : 0 Sao Francisco
08 Feb
Sao Francisco
1 : 2 Cameta
04 Feb
Santa Rosa
1 : 0 Sao Francisco
31 Jan
Sao Francisco
0 : 0 Remo
Page 1 of 6
08 Feb
Sao Francisco
1 : 2 Cameta
31 Jan
Sao Francisco
0 : 0 Remo
27 Jan
Sao Francisco
3 : 1 Capitao Poco
24 Feb
Sao Francisco
2 : 1 Tuna Luso
10 Feb
Sao Francisco
2 : 3 Aguia De Maraba
Page 1 of 3
Castanhal
(Away) 11 Mar
Castanhal
0 : 4 Nova Iguacu
07 Mar
Castanhal
0 : 1 Capitao Poco
28 Feb
Castanhal
1 : 0 Aguia De Maraba
25 Feb
Castanhal
2 : 1 Guarani
22 Feb
Paysandu PA
1 : 0 Castanhal
Page 1 of 6
22 Feb
Paysandu PA
1 : 0 Castanhal
19 Feb
Capitao Poco
0 : 1 Castanhal
15 Feb
Capitao Poco
2 : 0 Castanhal
04 Feb
Sao Raimundo PA
0 : 1 Castanhal
25 Jan
Cameta
0 : 0 Castanhal
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Remo | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17:4 | 17 |
| 2 | Paysandu PA | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15:7 | 17 |
| 3 | Bragantino PA | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 11:6 | 17 |
| 4 | Castanhal | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:7 | 13 |
| 5 | Tuna Luso | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:12 | 11 |
| 6 | Aguia De Maraba | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | 11 |
| 7 | Capitao Poco | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 9:9 | 11 |
| 8 | Santa Rosa | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7:9 | 10 |
| 9 | Cameta | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6:11 | 10 |
| 10 | Sao Francisco | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9:16 | 6 |
| 11 | Independente | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5:12 | 6 |
| 12 | Caete | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5:12 | 3 |
Promotion - Paraense 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paraense A2 (Main)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paysandu PA | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 15:7 | 17 |
| 2 | Cameta | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6:11 | 10 |
| 3 | Sao Francisco | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9:16 | 6 |
| 4 | Caete | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 5:12 | 3 |
Promotion - Paraense 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paraense A2 (Main)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Remo | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17:4 | 17 |
| 2 | Bragantino PA | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 11:6 | 17 |
| 3 | Castanhal | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:7 | 13 |
| 4 | Independente | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5:12 | 6 |
Promotion - Paraense 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paraense A2 (Main)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tuna Luso | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:12 | 11 |
| 2 | Aguia De Maraba | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | 11 |
| 3 | Capitao Poco | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 9:9 | 11 |
| 4 | Santa Rosa | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7:9 | 10 |
Promotion - Paraense 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paraense A2 (Main)
