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Sao Gabriel MS vs Bataguassu - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Sul-Matogrossense 2 2025
Sao Gabriel MS Logo

Sao Gabriel MS

0 - 2
FT
Bataguassu Logo

Bataguassu

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Bataguassu in this Sul-Matogrossense 2 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bataguassu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Sao Gabriel MS
30%
Draws
47%
Bataguassu
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bataguassu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bataguassu lately — more wins on the board than Sao Gabriel MS.
  • Bataguassu are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Sul-Matogrossense 2 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 93%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 40.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Sao Gabriel MS Clean Sheet 11%
Bataguassu Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Gabriel MS Bataguassu
Matches Played 17 25
Wins 2 12
Draws 4 6
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 0.71 2.16
Goals Conceded 1.94 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.49 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 11, 2025 Sul-Matogrossense 2
Bataguassu vs Sao Gabriel MS
4:0
Sep 7, 2025 Sul-Matogrossense 2
Sao Gabriel MS vs Bataguassu
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Gabriel MS 22 / 100
Bataguassu 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Gabriel MS Bataguassu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bataguassu Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bataguassu let in goals in 76% of their last 25 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Bataguassu has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Sao Gabriel MS found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (17 games).

Scoring Trends

Sao Gabriel MS VS Bataguassu
0.86 Goals Scored 1.75
1.86 Goals Conceded 2.13
86% Over 1.5 100%
57% Over 2.5 63%
43% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sao Gabriel MS

(Home)
02 Aug
7 de Setembro
4 : 0
Sao Gabriel MS
27 Jul
Esporte Clube Taveiropolis
2 : 2
Sao Gabriel MS
20 Jul
Sao Gabriel MS
1 : 2
Aquidauanense
11 Jul
Misto
0 : 0
Sao Gabriel MS
06 Jul
Sao Gabriel MS
1 : 3
Comercial MS
Page 1 of 4

Bataguassu

(Away)
02 Apr
Operario MS
2 : 1
Bataguassu
21 Mar
Bataguassu
1 : 3
Operario MS
18 Mar
Naviraiense
0 : 4
Bataguassu
15 Mar
Bataguassu
0 : 1
Naviraiense
11 Mar
Ivinhema
4 : 4
Bataguassu
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bataguassu 10 7 2 1 27:9 23
2 Clube de Regatas Aquidauana 10 7 2 1 23:7 23
3 Maracaju 10 4 4 2 12:13 16
4 Comercial MS 10 2 4 4 12:17 10
5 Esporte Clube Taveiropolis 10 2 0 8 11:25 6
6 Sao Gabriel MS 10 1 2 7 6:20 5
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