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Sao Gabriel MS vs Comercial MS - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Sul-Matogrossense 2
Sao Gabriel MS Logo

Sao Gabriel MS

1 - 3
FT
Comercial MS Logo

Comercial MS

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Sul-Matogrossense 2 game between Sao Gabriel MS and Comercial MS finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Comercial MS.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Sao Gabriel MS
30%
Draws
58%
Comercial MS
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Comercial MS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Comercial MS carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Comercial MS a 58% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Sul-Matogrossense 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Comercial MS have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Sao Gabriel MS Clean Sheet 15%
Comercial MS Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Gabriel MS Comercial MS
Matches Played 17 34
Wins 2 12
Draws 4 8
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 0.71 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.94 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 6, 2026 Sul-Matogrossense 2
Sao Gabriel MS vs Comercial MS
1:3
Nov 1, 2025 Sul-Matogrossense 2
Sao Gabriel MS vs Comercial MS
1:1
Sep 28, 2025 Sul-Matogrossense 2
Comercial MS vs Sao Gabriel MS
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Gabriel MS 10 / 100
Comercial MS 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Gabriel MS Comercial MS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Comercial MS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Comercial MS let in goals in 88% of their last 34 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Sao Gabriel MS scored in 53% of their last 17 games.

Sao Gabriel MS has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sao Gabriel MS VS Comercial MS
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sao Gabriel MS

(Home)
02 Aug
7 de Setembro
4 : 0
Sao Gabriel MS
27 Jul
Esporte Clube Taveiropolis
2 : 2
Sao Gabriel MS
20 Jul
Sao Gabriel MS
1 : 2
Aquidauanense
11 Jul
Misto
0 : 0
Sao Gabriel MS
06 Jul
Sao Gabriel MS
1 : 3
Comercial MS
Page 1 of 4

Comercial MS

(Away)
02 Aug
Comercial MS
2 : 0
Esporte Clube Taveiropolis
25 Jul
Comercial MS
0 : 1
Misto
18 Jul
EC Campo Grande
1 : 3
Comercial MS
11 Jul
Comercial MS
1 : 1
Uniao ABC
06 Jul
Sao Gabriel MS
1 : 3
Comercial MS
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aquidauanense 7 6 0 1 11:4 18
2 Misto 7 4 2 1 9:5 14
3 Comercial MS 7 4 1 2 11:6 13
4 7 de Setembro 7 3 2 2 12:6 11
5 Uniao ABC 7 2 3 2 6:4 9
6 Esporte Clube Taveiropolis 7 2 1 4 6:10 7
7 Sao Gabriel MS 7 1 2 4 6:13 5
8 EC Campo Grande 7 0 1 6 4:17 1
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