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Sao Gabriel MS vs Maracaju

Brazil Brazil

Sul-Matogrossense 2 2025
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AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Sul-Matogrossense 2 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Sao Gabriel MS
30%
Draws
54%
Maracaju
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Maracaju

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Sao Gabriel MS haven't matched Maracaju's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Sul-Matogrossense 2 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 93%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Sao Gabriel MS Clean Sheet 12%
Maracaju Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sao Gabriel MS Maracaju
Matches Played 17 21
Wins 2 6
Draws 4 8
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 0.71 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.94 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.71
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 5, 2025 Sul-Matogrossense 2
Sao Gabriel MS vs Maracaju
1:1
Aug 31, 2025 Sul-Matogrossense 2
Maracaju vs Sao Gabriel MS
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sao Gabriel MS 30 / 100
Maracaju 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sao Gabriel MS Maracaju

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maracaju let in goals in 67% of their last 21 matches.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Sao Gabriel MS found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (17 games).

Sao Gabriel MS has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sao Gabriel MS VS Maracaju
0.75 Goals Scored 1.29
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.71
100% Over 1.5 86%
63% Over 2.5 57%
25% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Sao Gabriel MS

(Home)
02 Aug
7 de Setembro
4 : 0
Sao Gabriel MS
27 Jul
Esporte Clube Taveiropolis
2 : 2
Sao Gabriel MS
20 Jul
Sao Gabriel MS
1 : 2
Aquidauanense
11 Jul
Misto
0 : 0
Sao Gabriel MS
06 Jul
Sao Gabriel MS
1 : 3
Comercial MS
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Maracaju

(Away)
01 Nov
Clube de Regatas Aquidauana
6 : 0
Maracaju
26 Oct
Maracaju
3 : 1
Comercial MS
18 Oct
Bataguassu
3 : 1
Maracaju
11 Oct
Maracaju
3 : 0
Esporte Clube Taveiropolis
05 Oct
Sao Gabriel MS
1 : 1
Maracaju
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bataguassu 10 7 2 1 27:9 23
2 Clube de Regatas Aquidauana 10 7 2 1 23:7 23
3 Maracaju 10 4 4 2 12:13 16
4 Comercial MS 10 2 4 4 12:17 10
5 Esporte Clube Taveiropolis 10 2 0 8 11:25 6
6 Sao Gabriel MS 10 1 2 7 6:20 5
Promotion - Sul-Matogrossense (Main)